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Bel Air Bobcats (7-8)

Region: MD 3A

State: MD

Coach: Suzanne Taylor

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/22	vs. Liberty, MD # (15-2)	MD 2A	90.4	4	L	2-	13		-0.125
3/22	at Marriotts Ridge (9-6)	MD 1A	81.0		W	10-	6		0.200
3/27	NORTH CARROLL (5-10)	MD 3A	79.2		W	15-	8		0.125
3/28	at Northeast (3-10)	MD 3A	74.9		W	19-	5		0.000
4/01	C. MILTON WRIGHT (9-6)	MD 3A	84.3		L	9-	12		-0.250
4/03	at Reservoir (10-5)	MD 2A	80.1		W	18-	8		0.125
4/05	at Aberdeen (10-3)	MD 2A	77.0		W	17-	3		0.000
4/08	at North Harford (9-8)	MD 2A	84.0		L	11-	13		-0.225
4/15	at Fallston (9-6)	MD 3A	86.0		L	10-	11		-0.175
4/18	at C. Milton Wright (9-6)	MD 3A	84.3		W	15-	9		0.300
4/21	at Towson HS (14-5)	MD 3A	87.2	9	L	13-	17		-0.175
4/24	NORTH HARFORD (9-8)	MD 2A	84.0		L	7-	13		-0.275
5/01	FALLSTON (9-6)	MD 3A	86.0		L	10-	14		-0.225
5/05	at Howard (3-9)	MD 2A	74.3		W	17-	5		0.000
5/08	at Hereford (9-10)	MD 2A	82.2		L	12-	14		-0.250
# Neutral site			83.5						-0.95

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/22	N	Liberty, MD	2-	13	-11	-5	–––	0.00	-6.07
3/22	A	Marriotts Ridge	10-	6	4	2	+	0.99	2.05
3/27	H	North Carroll	15-	8	7	5		-0.99	1.80
3/28	A	Northeast	19-	5	14	10	+	0.99	3.85
4/01	H	C. Milton Wright	9-	12	-3	0	–	-0.99	-2.95
4/03	A	Reservoir	18-	8	10	5	++	0.99	4.95
4/05	A	Aberdeen	17-	3	14	13		0.99	1.48
4/08	A	North Harford	11-	13	-2	-1		0.99	-0.60
4/15	A	Fallston	10-	11	-1	-3		0.99	1.53
4/18	A	C. Milton Wright	15-	9	6	-2	+++	0.99	8.04
4/21	A	Towson HS	13-	17	-4	-3		0.99	-1.40
4/24	H	North Harford	7-	13	-6	1	–––	-0.99	-6.58
5/01	H	Fallston	10-	14	-4	-1	–	-0.99	-3.45
5/05	A	Howard	17-	5	12	13		0.99	-0.80
5/08	A	Hereford	12-	14	-2	0		0.99	-1.84
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/22	N	Liberty, MD	2-	13	1.00
3/28	A	Northeast	19-	5	-3.85
4/03	A	Reservoir	18-	8	0.00
4/05	A	Aberdeen	17-	3	-1.48
5/05	A	Howard	17-	5	0.80
10-goal correction: -0.24

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	82.		Natl CCR Rank	202
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	82.19		Natl Power Rank	202
Natl SOS Rating	82.35		Natl SOS Rank	53
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.95		Natl Quality Win Rank	2213
W-L Pct Rating	0.47		W-L Pct Rank	1102
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.0


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