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Bourne Canalmen (13-5 - 1)

Region: MA So D2

State: MA

Coach: Samantha Ziehl

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	at Fairhaven (2-13)	MA So D2	47.5		W	18-	2		0.000
3/31	NEW BEDFORD (7-8)	MA So D1	59.2		T	6-	6		0.000
4/02	at Notre Dame Acad, MA (15-4)	MA So D1	77.6		L	8-	17		-0.050
4/08	at Martha's Vineyard (13-4)	MA So D2	69.2		L	3-	6		-0.250
4/10	at Nantucket HS (13-5)	MA So D2	64.0		W	13-	8		0.150
4/15	BARNSTABLE (3-12)	MA So D1	54.0		W	13-	3		0.075
4/18	FAIRHAVEN (2-13)	MA So D2	47.5		W	23-	6		0.000
4/24	at Falmouth HS, MA (14-5)	MA So D1	66.0		W	10-	9		0.250
4/26	at Duxbury (14-5)	MA So D2	78.9		L	3-	19		0.000
5/01	at Bishop Stang (4-11)	MA So D2	54.2		W	18-	9		0.125
5/05	DARTMOUTH (5-12)	MA So D1	60.9		W	16-	12		0.150
5/07	NOTRE DAME ACAD, MA (15-4)	MA So D1	77.6		L	10-	21		-0.100
5/08	MARTHA'S VINEYARD (13-4)	MA So D2	69.2		W	11-	10		0.200
5/09	at Dartmouth (5-12)	MA So D1	60.9		W	12-	7		0.200
5/15	at Barnstable (3-12)	MA So D1	54.0		W	13-	6		0.125
5/19	BISHOP STANG (4-11)	MA So D2	54.2		W	21-	10		0.075
5/21	at New Bedford (7-8)	MA So D1	59.2		W	16-	11		0.175
5/28	MILTON, MA (11-9)	MA So D2	70.2		W	10-	9		0.275
6/02	MARTHA'S VINEYARD (13-4)	MA So D2	69.2		L	12-	13		-0.300
			71.0						1.10

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	A	Fairhaven	18-	2	16	13	+	0.92	2.62
3/31	H	New Bedford	6-	6	0	5	––	-0.92	-5.32
4/02	A	Notre Dame Acad, MA	8-	17	-9	-8		0.92	-0.98
4/08	A	Martha's Vineyard	3-	6	-3	0	–	0.92	-3.32
4/10	A	Nantucket HS	13-	8	5	4		0.92	1.11
4/15	H	Barnstable	13-	3	10	7	+	-0.92	3.34
4/18	H	Fairhaven	23-	6	17	15		-0.92	1.79
4/24	A	Falmouth HS, MA	10-	9	1	0		0.92	0.93
4/26	A	Duxbury	3-	19	-16	-10	–––	0.92	-6.40
5/01	A	Bishop Stang	18-	9	9	5	+	0.92	3.61
5/05	H	Dartmouth	16-	12	4	4		-0.92	-0.17
5/07	H	Notre Dame Acad, MA	10-	21	-11	-6	––	-0.92	-4.81
5/08	H	Martha's Vineyard	11-	10	1	2		-0.92	-1.15
5/09	A	Dartmouth	12-	7	5	2	+	0.92	2.66
5/15	A	Barnstable	13-	6	7	5	+	0.92	2.17
5/19	H	Bishop Stang	21-	10	11	7	+	-0.92	3.78
5/21	A	New Bedford	16-	11	5	3		0.92	1.51
5/28	H	Milton, MA	10-	9	1	-1		-0.92	1.77
6/02	H	Martha's Vineyard	12-	13	-1	2	–	-0.92	-3.15
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/27	A	Fairhaven	18-	2	-2.62
4/15	H	Barnstable	13-	3	0.00
4/18	H	Fairhaven	23-	6	-1.79
4/26	A	Duxbury	3-	19	6.00
5/07	H	Notre Dame Acad, MA	10-	21	1.00
5/19	H	Bishop Stang	21-	10	-1.00
10-goal correction: 0.08

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	69.		Natl CCR Rank	1044
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	70.28		Natl Power Rank	1044
Natl SOS Rating	61.17		Natl SOS Rank	1041
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.10		Natl Quality Win Rank	131
W-L Pct Rating	0.71		W-L Pct Rank	437
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.7


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