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Bow Falcons (17-2)

Region: NH D2

State: NH

Coach: Christiane Raabe

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/12	PINKERTON ACADEMY, NH (14-5)	NH D1	76.6	4	W	6-	4		0.225
4/15	at Merrimack (7-10)	NH D2	56.8		W	15-	3		0.000
4/25	CON-VAL (5-9)	NH D2	56.3		W	15-	0		0.000
4/26	at Salem, NH (5-6)	NH D1	69.4	8		-
4/30	at Dover, NH (1-12)	NH D2	49.0		W	18-	3		0.000
5/02	HANOVER, NH (13-4)	NH D2	75.1	5	W	13-	11		0.150
5/02	at Winnacunnet (5-11)	NH D2	56.6		W	11-	10		0.050
5/03	SPAULDING, NH (1-10)	NH D2	48.0		W	17-	3		0.000
5/05	GOFFSTOWN (0-11)	NH D2	46.0		W	19-	0		0.000
5/07	at Lebanon, NH (10-6)	NH D2	66.5	10	W	16-	8		0.125
5/08	BISHOP BRADY (6-7)	NH D2	57.8		W	16-	5		0.000
5/12	TIMBERLANE (8-5)	NH D2	65.0		W	13-	4		0.050
5/14	at Bishop Guertin (14-4)	NH D2	72.3	7	W	11-	8		0.200
5/16	at Londonderry (15-5)	NH D1	76.8	3	W	13-	11		0.300
5/19	at Bishop Brady (6-7)	NH D2	57.8		W	12-	2		0.050
5/20	SOUHEGAN (19-0)	NH D1	84.5	1	L	8-	11		-0.125
5/22	at Winnacunnet (5-11)	NH D2	56.6		W	11-	10		0.050
5/29	WINNACUNNET (5-11)	NH D2	56.6		W	20-	5		0.000
5/31	vs. Lebanon, NH # (10-6)	NH D2	66.5	10	W	14-	3		0.100
6/04	vs. Hanover, NH # (13-4)	NH D2	75.1	5	L	9-	12		-0.325
# Neutral site			71.4						0.85

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/12	H	Pinkerton Academy, NH	6-	4	2	1		-1.13	1.32
4/15	A	Merrimack	15-	3	12	10		1.13	1.83
4/25	H	Con-Val	15-	0	15	12	+	-1.13	3.30
4/30	A	Dover, NH	18-	3	15	15		1.13	-0.46
5/02	H	Hanover, NH	13-	11	2	4		-1.13	-1.82
5/02	A	Winnacunnet	11-	10	1	8	–––	1.13	-7.15
5/03	H	Spaulding, NH	17-	3	14	19	––	-1.13	-4.85
5/05	H	Goffstown	19-	0	19	21	–	-1.13	-2.15
5/07	A	Lebanon, NH	16-	8	8	5	+	1.13	2.83
5/08	H	Bishop Brady	16-	5	11	11		-1.13	0.44
5/12	H	Timberlane	13-	4	9	8		-1.13	1.50
5/14	A	Bishop Guertin	11-	8	3	2		1.13	1.20
5/16	A	Londonderry	13-	11	2	-2	++	1.13	4.30
5/19	A	Bishop Brady	12-	2	10	8		1.13	1.71
5/20	H	Souhegan	8-	11	-3	-5		-1.13	1.54
5/22	A	Winnacunnet	11-	10	1	8	–––	1.13	-7.15
5/29	H	Winnacunnet	20-	5	15	10	++	-1.13	4.59
5/31	N	Lebanon, NH	14-	3	11	6	++	0.00	4.70
6/04	N	Hanover, NH	9-	12	-3	3	––	0.00	-5.68
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/15	A	Merrimack	15-	3	-1.83
4/25	H	Con-Val	15-	0	-3.30
4/30	A	Dover, NH	18-	3	0.46
5/03	H	Spaulding, NH	17-	3	4.85
5/05	H	Goffstown	19-	0	2.15
5/08	H	Bishop Brady	16-	5	-0.44
5/19	A	Bishop Brady	12-	2	0.00
5/29	H	Winnacunnet	20-	5	-4.59
5/31	N	Lebanon, NH	14-	3	-1.00
10-goal correction: -0.19

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	450
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	77.15		Natl Power Rank	450
Natl SOS Rating	62.04		Natl SOS Rank	975
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.85		Natl Quality Win Rank	224
W-L Pct Rating	0.89		W-L Pct Rank	89
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	17-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	7.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	3-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	0.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	6-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	2.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	14-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	6.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	7.7


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