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Boyertown Area Bears (19-4)

Region: PA PACState: PACoach: P. Wernersbach

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/25NORTH PENN (14-6)PA Sub N87.1W18- 4 0.125  
3/27at Owen J. Roberts (10-9)PA PAC81.4W18- 9 0.025  
4/01at Downingtown East (16-5)PA CML-N87.7L13-14 -0.275  
4/07SPRING-FORD (13-7)PA PAC85.4W13-10 0.075  
4/10PERKIOMEN VALLEY (9-6)PA PAC83.0W16- 5 0.000  
4/14at Upper Perkiomen (2-12)PA PAC76.1W20- 2 0.000  
4/15at Archbishop Carroll, PA (16-4)PA Cath88.99W7- 6 0.225  
4/16POTTSGROVE (6-9)PA PAC78.4W16- 5 0.000  
4/18at Phoenixville (11-7)PA PAC82.4W19- 9 0.025  
4/22POTTSTOWN (14-7)PA PAC83.3W19- 8 0.000  
4/24at Lansdale Catholic (2-13)PA PAC75.1W21- 5 0.000  
4/25at Conestoga (13-7)PA Centrl85.9W14- 8 0.175  
4/26DOWNINGTOWN WEST (20-3)PA CML-N89.86L9-12 -0.250  
4/30UPPER DUBLIN (15-5)PA Sub A86.0W18- 5 0.050  
5/02OWEN J. ROBERTS (10-9)PA PAC81.4W15-11 0.000  
5/05at Spring-Ford (13-7)PA PAC85.4W17- 7 0.150  
5/07at Great Valley (19-4)PA CML-A90.54L5- 6 -0.125  
5/09at Perkiomen Valley (9-6)PA PAC83.0W16- 8 0.075  
5/14vs. Phoenixville # (11-7)PA PAC82.4W16- 6 0.000  
5/16vs. Spring-Ford # (13-7)PA PAC85.4W14- 8 0.125  
5/22vs. Council Rock South # (17-4)PA Sub C83.8W13- 2 0.000  
5/28NORTH PENN (14-6)PA Sub N87.1W12-11 0.125  
5/31vs. Radnor # (23-0)PA Centrl93.81L7-18 -0.050  
# Neutral site 79.2     0.47  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/25HNorth Penn18-414   5       +++-1.65       9.29
3/27AOwen J. Roberts18-99   9       1.65       -0.30
4/01ADowningtown East13-14-1   1       1.65       -1.54
4/07HSpring-Ford13-103   7       ––-1.65       -4.15
4/10HPerkiomen Valley16-511   10       -1.65       0.85
4/14AUpper Perkiomen20-218   17       1.65       0.71
4/15AArchbishop Carroll, PA7-61   1       1.65       0.14
4/16HPottsgrove16-511   15       –-1.65       -3.86
4/18APhoenixville19-910   9       1.65       1.19
4/22HPottstown19-811   10       -1.65       0.63
4/24ALansdale Catholic21-516   21       ––1.65       -4.75
4/25AConestoga14-86   3       +1.65       2.77
4/26HDowningtown West9-12-3   0       –-1.65       -3.11
4/30HUpper Dublin18-513   8       ++-1.65       5.21
5/02HOwen J. Roberts15-114   13       –––-1.65       -8.61
5/05ASpring-Ford17-710   4       +++1.65       6.16
5/07AGreat Valley5-6-1   -5       ++1.65       4.19
5/09APerkiomen Valley16-88   7       1.65       1.16
5/14NPhoenixville16-610   10       0.00       -0.46
5/16NSpring-Ford14-86   5       0.00       0.50
5/22NCouncil Rock South13-211   10       0.00       1.05
5/28HNorth Penn12-111   5       –-1.65       -3.71
5/31NRadnor7-18-11   -8       –0.00       -3.36
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/25HNorth Penn18-4-4.00
4/10HPerkiomen Valley16-5-0.85
4/14AUpper Perkiomen20-2-0.71
4/16HPottsgrove16-53.86
4/18APhoenixville19-90.00
4/22HPottstown19-8-0.63
4/24ALansdale Catholic21-54.75
4/30HUpper Dublin18-5-3.00
5/05ASpring-Ford17-70.00
5/14NPhoenixville16-60.46
5/22NCouncil Rock South13-2-1.05
5/31NRadnor7-181.00
10-goal correction: -0.01

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 89.   Natl CCR Rank 51
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 89.09   Natl Power Rank 43
Natl SOS Rating 74.71   Natl SOS Rank 234
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.47   Natl Quality Win Rank 477
W-L Pct Rating 0.83   W-L Pct Rank 183
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 19-4   Ave Goal diff (all ) 6.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -3.5
Wins/Losses (top 20) 8-4   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 3.2
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 0.3



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