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Brentsville District Tigers (3-10)

Region: VA NW AA

State: VA

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/13	HERITAGE (7-7)	VA NW AA	69.6		L	6-	9		-0.200
3/24	at Potomac Falls (10-4)	VA NW AA	73.6		L	4-	11		-0.025
3/27	at Briar Woods (5-7)	VA NW AA	68.2		L	7-	11		-0.100
3/29	at Rockbridge County (10-6)	VA NW AA	75.2		L	7-	18		0.000
3/31	LIBERTY-BEALTON, VA (9-3)	VA NW AAA	70.0		L	5-	11		-0.250
4/02	STONEWALL JACKSON (0-10)	VA NW AAA	58.3		W	13-	4		0.025
4/12	vs. Salem, VA # (11-3)	VA NW AA	74.6		L	5-	15		-0.050
4/17	at C.D. Hylton (1-8)	VA NW AAA	63.6		W	8-	7		0.275
4/18	POTOMAC HS (1-4)	VA NW AAA	65.4		W	10-	8		0.175
4/21	at Culpeper County (2-7)	VA NW AAA	65.7		L	8-	11		-0.200
4/22	at Charlottesville (2-7)	VA NW AA	70.0		L	7-	14		-0.025
5/03	at Monticello, VA (2-8)	VA NW AA	68.5		L	6-	16		-0.100
5/07	WESTERN ALBEMARLE (15-3)	VA NW AA	83.0	5	L	3-	16		0.000
# Neutral site			72.1						-0.48

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/13	H	Heritage	6-	9	-3	-2		-2.28	-1.17
3/24	A	Potomac Falls	4-	11	-7	-9	+	2.28	2.45
3/27	A	Briar Woods	7-	11	-4	-6	+	2.28	2.36
3/29	A	Rockbridge County	7-	18	-11	-12		2.28	1.32
3/31	H	Liberty-Bealton, VA	5-	11	-6	0	––	-2.28	-5.51
4/02	H	Stonewall Jackson	13-	4	9	9		-2.28	-0.14
4/12	N	Salem, VA	5-	15	-10	-8		0.00	-1.67
4/17	A	C.D. Hylton	8-	7	1	-1	+	2.28	2.40
4/18	H	Potomac HS	10-	8	2	3		-2.28	-0.83
4/21	A	Culpeper County	8-	11	-3	-2		2.28	-0.56
4/22	A	Charlottesville	7-	14	-7	-9		2.28	1.85
5/03	A	Monticello, VA	6-	16	-10	-6	–	2.28	-3.51
5/07	H	Western Albemarle	3-	16	-13	-16	+	-2.28	3.02
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/29	A	Rockbridge County	7-	18	-1.32
4/12	N	Salem, VA	5-	15	0.00
5/03	A	Monticello, VA	6-	16	0.00
5/07	H	Western Albemarle	3-	16	-3.02
10-goal correction: -0.33

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	65.		Natl CCR Rank	1382
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	65.38		Natl Power Rank	1382
Natl SOS Rating	62.82		Natl SOS Rank	924
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.48		Natl Quality Win Rank	1860
W-L Pct Rating	0.23		W-L Pct Rank	1651
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-4.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-13.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-13.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-10.0


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