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Bernards Mountaineers (15-4)

Region: NJ CJ Lgn

State: NJ

Coach: Jessica McGinn

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	VOORHEES (16-4)	NJ Indep	79.5		L	9-	15		-0.175
4/04	VILLA WALSH ACADEMY (4-12)	NJ NHC	67.3			-
4/05	at Somerville (10-10)	NJ Indep	68.7		W	16-	15		0.200
4/07	at Phillipsburg (15-5)	NJ Indep	73.4		W	8-	4		0.250
4/09	at Delaware Valley (1-18)	NJ Indep	58.4		W	14-	2		0.000
4/11	RUTGERS PREP (8-7)	NJ CJ Cen	68.9		W	7-	5		0.100
4/15	at North Warren (3-13)	NJ Indep	61.5		W	14-	4		0.000
4/17	NORTH HUNTERDON (9-10)	NJ Indep	68.5		W	13-	4		0.100
4/21	at Mt. St. Mary SG (4-12)	NJ CJ Lgn	64.3		W	13-	5		0.100
4/23	at Voorhees (16-4)	NJ Indep	79.5		L	14-	17		-0.100
4/26	at Montgomery, NJ (7-13)	NJ CJ Bdm	69.1		W	9-	8		0.225
4/29	SOMERVILLE (10-10)	NJ Indep	68.7		W	9-	5		0.100
5/01	PHILLIPSBURG (15-5)	NJ Indep	73.4		W	11-	3		0.175
5/05	at Ridge, NJ (12-10)	NJ Indep	76.7		L	8-	13		-0.075
5/06	DELAWARE VALLEY (1-18)	NJ Indep	58.4		W	14-	6		0.000
5/08	NORTH WARREN (3-13)	NJ Indep	61.5		W	11-	0		0.000
5/09	vs. Villa Walsh Academy # (4-12)	NJ NHC	67.3		W	8-	7		0.150
5/13	at North Hunterdon (9-10)	NJ Indep	68.5		W	11-	8		0.175
5/15	MT. ST. MARY SG (4-12)	NJ CJ Lgn	64.3		W	16-	6		0.025
5/19	at Madison (18-2)	NJ NHC	80.5		L	4-	7		-0.100
# Neutral site			75.1						1.15

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	H	Voorhees	9-	15	-6	-3	–	-1.82	-3.34
4/05	A	Somerville	16-	15	1	2		1.82	-1.02
4/07	A	Phillipsburg	8-	4	4	0	++	1.82	4.40
4/09	A	Delaware Valley	14-	2	12	12		1.82	0.03
4/11	H	Rutgers Prep	7-	5	2	6	–	-1.82	-3.98
4/15	A	North Warren	14-	4	10	10		1.82	0.33
4/17	H	North Hunterdon	13-	4	9	6	+	-1.82	2.70
4/21	A	Mt. St. Mary SG	13-	5	8	6	+	1.82	2.16
4/23	A	Voorhees	14-	17	-3	-6	+	1.82	3.29
4/26	A	Montgomery, NJ	9-	8	1	1		1.82	-0.33
4/29	H	Somerville	9-	5	4	6		-1.82	-1.65
5/01	H	Phillipsburg	11-	3	8	3	++	-1.82	4.77
5/05	A	Ridge, NJ	8-	13	-5	-7		1.82	1.82
5/06	H	Delaware Valley	14-	6	8	16	–––	-1.82	-7.60
5/08	H	North Warren	11-	0	11	13	–	-1.82	-2.30
5/09	N	Villa Walsh Academy	8-	7	1	4	–	0.00	-2.95
5/13	A	North Hunterdon	11-	8	3	3		1.82	0.33
5/15	H	Mt. St. Mary SG	16-	6	10	9		-1.82	0.53
5/19	A	Madison	4-	7	-3	-6	+	1.82	2.81
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/09	A	Delaware Valley	14-	2	-0.03
4/15	A	North Warren	14-	4	-0.33
5/08	H	North Warren	11-	0	2.30
5/15	H	Mt. St. Mary SG	16-	6	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.10

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	75.		Natl CCR Rank	594
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	75.18		Natl Power Rank	594
Natl SOS Rating	67.74		Natl SOS Rank	556
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.15		Natl Quality Win Rank	108
W-L Pct Rating	0.79		W-L Pct Rank	244
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	15-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.3


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