| Region: NC East | State: NC | Coach: Larry Rice |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
2/29 | at Enloe (7-7) | NC East | 65.5 | | W | 15- | 11 | | 0.200 |
3/03 | at Wakefield, NC (12-5) | NC East | 68.5 | | W | 18- | 14 | | 0.200 |
3/11 | ATHENS DRIVE (3-11) | NC East | 61.2 | | W | 14- | 7 | | 0.025 |
3/12 | at Panther Creek (3-12) | NC East | 60.5 | | W | 14- | 5 | | 0.000 |
3/15 | at Page (5-9) | NC W Cen | 61.1 | | W | 12- | 6 | | 0.000 |
3/24 | at Cary (0-10) | NC East | 57.8 | | W | 17- | 5 | | 0.000 |
3/25 | MIDDLE CREEK (5-9) | NC East | 63.3 | | W | 16- | 9 | | 0.100 |
3/27 | DURHAM ACADEMY (15-5) | NC E Cen | 70.0 | 7 | L | 11- | 13 | | -0.250 |
4/11 | PANTHER CREEK (3-12) | NC East | 60.5 | | W | 16- | 2 | | 0.000 |
4/15 | ENLOE (7-7) | NC East | 65.5 | | W | 16- | 8 | | 0.175 |
4/19 | at Ashley (8-7) | NC SE | 65.8 | | W | 10- | 9 | | 0.175 |
4/19 | at Laney (8-7) | NC SE | 64.6 | | W | 11- | 7 | | 0.075 |
4/24 | at Apex (19-3) | NC East | 79.6 | 1 | L | 7- | 17 | | 0.000 |
4/25 | at Athens Drive (3-11) | NC East | 61.2 | | W | 20- | 11 | | 0.025 |
4/29 | GREEN HOPE (13-6) | NC East | 71.3 | 4 | W | 10- | 7 | | 0.275 |
5/05 | WESTERN GUILFORD (12-5) | NC W Cen | 68.6 | | W | 14- | 12 | | 0.275 |
5/08 | at East Chapel Hill (14-4) | NC E Cen | 74.6 | 3 | L | 14- | 17 | | -0.125 |
| | 65.8 | | | | | | 1.15 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
2/29 | A | Enloe | 15- | 11 | 4 | 2 | | 0.39 | 1.75 | |
3/03 | A | Wakefield, NC | 18- | 14 | 4 | 2 | + | 0.39 | 2.04 | |
3/11 | H | Athens Drive | 14- | 7 | 7 | 9 | | -0.39 | -2.37 | |
3/12 | A | Panther Creek | 14- | 5 | 9 | 13 | | 0.39 | -3.59 | |
3/15 | A | Page | 12- | 6 | 6 | 10 | | 0.39 | -4.14 | |
3/24 | A | Cary | 17- | 5 | 12 | 14 | | 0.39 | -2.01 | |
3/25 | H | Middle Creek | 16- | 9 | 7 | 6 | | -0.39 | 0.96 | |
3/27 | H | Durham Academy | 11- | 13 | -2 | 0 | | -0.39 | -2.28 | |
4/11 | H | Panther Creek | 16- | 2 | 14 | 13 | | -0.39 | 0.64 | |
4/15 | H | Enloe | 16- | 8 | 8 | 3 | ++ | -0.39 | 4.98 | |
4/19 | A | Ashley | 10- | 9 | 1 | 3 | | 0.39 | -1.74 | |
4/19 | A | Laney | 11- | 7 | 4 | 7 | | 0.39 | -3.17 | |
4/24 | A | Apex | 7- | 17 | -10 | -10 | | 0.39 | -0.42 | |
4/25 | A | Athens Drive | 20- | 11 | 9 | 9 | | 0.39 | 0.40 | |
4/29 | H | Green Hope | 10- | 7 | 3 | -1 | + | -0.39 | 3.93 | |
5/05 | H | Western Guilford | 14- | 12 | 2 | -1 | + | -0.39 | 2.76 | |
5/08 | A | East Chapel Hill | 14- | 17 | -3 | -5 | + | 0.39 | 2.27 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/24 | A | Cary | 17- | 5 | 2.01 |
4/11 | H | Panther Creek | 16- | 2 | -0.64 |
4/24 | A | Apex | 7- | 17 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.08 |
| National Rating |
| Natl CCR Rating | 71. | | Natl CCR Rank | 933 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 70.91 | | Natl Power Rank | 933 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 53.74 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1658 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 1.15 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 117 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.82 | | W-L Pct Rank | 194 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 14-3 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 4.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -3.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -3.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 6-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 0.8 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 0.7 |
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