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Bullis School Bulldogs (15-3)

Region: DC ISL A

State: MD

Coach: Kathleen Lloyd

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/11	EPISCOPAL, VA (12-10)	DC ISL AA	75.5		W	9-	4		0.025
3/17	GOOD COUNSEL (15-6)	DC WCAC	89.8	3	W	9-	8		0.225
3/20	at Sidwell Friends (15-5)	DC ISL AA	80.6	9	W	13-	7		0.150
3/27	at Worcester Prep, MD (11-6)	MD EESIAC	83.0		W	12-	4		0.150
4/01	HOLY CROSS, MD (8-9)	DC WCAC	83.2	8	W	11-	8		0.175
4/03	at Stone Ridge CDS (4-11)	DC ISL A	74.9		W	14-	8		0.100
4/05	BROAD RUN (15-5)	VA NW AA	79.9		W	14-	5		0.000
4/08	GEORGETOWN VISITATION (18-3)	DC ISL A	90.7	2	L	12-	14		-0.250
4/10	NATIONAL CATHEDRAL, DC (7-6)	DC ISL A	79.6	10	W	11-	5		0.075
4/11	at Elizabeth Seton (6-7)	DC WCAC	75.1		W	14-	6		0.075
4/15	at Potomac School (14-6)	DC ISL A	87.4	5	W	13-	8		0.250
4/17	STS. STEPHEN'S & AGNES (26-0)	DC ISL A	98.7	1	L	5-	12		-0.075
4/21	PAUL VI CATHOLIC, VA (7-11)	DC WCAC	75.1		W	14-	5		0.000
4/24	at Holton-Arms School (8-10)	DC ISL A	83.9	7	W	10-	9		0.275
4/29	WALT WHITMAN, MD (2-11)	MD 4A	71.0		W	16-	2		0.000
5/01	HOLY CHILD, DC (4-12)	DC ISL A	74.8		W	14-	2		0.000
5/10	POTOMAC SCHOOL (14-6)	DC ISL A	87.4	5	W	10-	6		0.150
5/11	at Georgetown Visitation (18-3)	DC ISL A	90.7	2	L	5-	11		-0.150
			85.4						1.18

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/11	H	Episcopal, VA	9-	4	5	9	––	-2.05	-4.24
3/17	H	Good Counsel	9-	8	1	1		-2.05	-0.07
3/20	A	Sidwell Friends	13-	7	6	4		2.05	1.58
3/27	A	Worcester Prep, MD	12-	4	8	4	+	2.16		3.93
4/01	H	Holy Cross, MD	11-	8	3	3		-2.05	-0.37
4/03	A	Stone Ridge CDS	14-	8	6	6		2.05	-0.08
4/05	H	Broad Run	14-	5	9	12	–	-2.17		-2.54
4/08	H	Georgetown Visitation	12-	14	-2	0	–	-2.05	-2.04
4/10	H	National Cathedral, DC	11-	5	6	7		-2.05	-1.42
4/11	A	Elizabeth Seton	14-	6	8	7		2.05	1.23
4/15	A	Potomac School	13-	8	5	0	++	2.05	5.26
4/17	H	Sts. Stephen's & Agnes	5-	12	-7	-7		-2.05	-0.22
4/21	H	Paul VI Catholic, VA	14-	5	9	11		-2.05	-1.79
4/24	A	Holton-Arms School	10-	9	1	-1	+	2.05	2.32
4/29	H	Walt Whitman, MD	16-	2	14	20	––	-1.52		-5.80
5/01	H	Holy Child, DC	14-	2	12	10		-2.05	1.62
5/10	H	Potomac School	10-	6	4	4		-2.05	0.16
5/11	A	Georgetown Visitation	5-	11	-6	-4		2.05	-1.93
									0.00	-4.42

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/29	H	Walt Whitman, MD	16-	2	5.80
5/01	H	Holy Child, DC	14-	2	-1.62
10-goal correction: 0.23

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	89.		Natl CCR Rank	52
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	89.23		Natl Power Rank	44
Natl SOS Rating	86.53		Natl SOS Rank	22
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.18		Natl Quality Win Rank	100
W-L Pct Rating	0.83		W-L Pct Rank	169
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	15-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	3-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-0.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	7-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	1.1
Wins/Losses (top 20)	12-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	3.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.3


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