| Region: NC SE | State: NC | Coach: Susan Tillier |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/11 | at New Hanover (1-10) | NC SE | 58.6 | | W | 19- | 5 | | 0.000 |
3/12 | LANEY (8-7) | NC SE | 64.6 | | W | 16- | 5 | | 0.100 |
3/15 | CARRBORO (4-11) | NC E Cen | 61.3 | | W | 18- | 12 | | 0.075 |
3/25 | ASHLEY (8-7) | NC SE | 65.8 | | W | 12- | 10 | | 0.200 |
3/28 | CHAPEL HILL (13-8) | NC E Cen | 69.2 | 9 | L | 9- | 13 | | -0.250 |
4/01 | at Ashley (8-7) | NC SE | 65.8 | | L | 11- | 12 | ot | -0.275 |
4/04 | at Durham Academy (15-5) | NC E Cen | 70.0 | 7 | L | 9- | 17 | | -0.200 |
4/05 | at Cardinal Gibbons, NC (7-7) | NC E Cen | 66.6 | | L | 12- | 13 | | -0.275 |
4/05 | at St. Mary's, NC (7-9) | NC E Cen | 61.8 | | W | 19- | 12 | | 0.125 |
4/08 | LOOKOUT CLUB (0-5) | NC SE | 54.3 | | W | 19- | 1 | | 0.000 |
4/15 | at Hoggard (11-3) | NC SE | 69.6 | 8 | L | 5- | 6 | | -0.225 |
4/17 | at Laney (8-7) | NC SE | 64.6 | | W | 19- | 7 | | 0.125 |
4/18 | VICTOR (14-5) | NY B Sec 5 | 78.9 | | L | 7- | 17 | | 0.000 |
4/25 | HOGGARD (11-3) | NC SE | 69.6 | 8 | L | 7- | 11 | | -0.250 |
4/29 | NEW HANOVER (1-10) | NC SE | 58.6 | | W | 13- | 1 | | 0.000 |
5/05 | at Apex (19-3) | NC East | 79.6 | 1 | L | 10- | 15 | | 0.000 |
| | 65.5 | | | | | | -0.85 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/11 | A | New Hanover | 19- | 5 | 14 | 13 | | 0.39 | 1.31 | |
3/12 | H | Laney | 16- | 5 | 11 | 6 | ++ | -0.39 | 4.85 | |
3/15 | H | Carrboro | 18- | 12 | 6 | 7 | | -0.39 | -1.33 | |
3/25 | H | Ashley | 12- | 10 | 2 | 2 | | -0.39 | 0.28 | |
3/28 | H | Chapel Hill | 9- | 13 | -4 | 0 | – | -0.39 | -3.71 | |
4/01 | A | Ashley | 11- | 12 | -1 | 1 | | 0.39 | -1.95 | |
4/04 | A | Durham Academy | 9- | 17 | -8 | -2 | –– | 0.39 | -5.72 | |
4/05 | A | Cardinal Gibbons, NC | 12- | 13 | -1 | 1 | | 0.39 | -1.98 | |
4/05 | A | St. Mary's, NC | 19- | 12 | 7 | 5 | | 0.39 | 1.86 | |
4/08 | H | Lookout Club | 19- | 1 | 18 | 19 | | -0.39 | -0.81 | |
4/15 | A | Hoggard | 5- | 6 | -1 | -1 | | 0.39 | -0.28 | |
4/17 | A | Laney | 19- | 7 | 12 | 5 | +++ | 0.39 | 6.62 | |
4/18 | H | Victor | 7- | 17 | -10 | -11 | | -0.58 | | 1.38 |
4/25 | H | Hoggard | 7- | 11 | -4 | 0 | –– | -0.39 | -4.05 | |
4/29 | H | New Hanover | 13- | 1 | 12 | 13 | | -0.39 | -1.46 | |
5/05 | A | Apex | 10- | 15 | -5 | -11 | +++ | 0.39 | 6.38 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 1.38 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/11 | A | New Hanover | 19- | 5 | -1.31 |
3/12 | H | Laney | 16- | 5 | -1.00 |
4/08 | H | Lookout Club | 19- | 1 | 0.81 |
4/17 | A | Laney | 19- | 7 | -2.00 |
4/18 | H | Victor | 7- | 17 | -1.38 |
4/29 | H | New Hanover | 13- | 1 | 1.46 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.21 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 67. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1282 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 66.93 | | Natl Power Rank | 1282 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 54.00 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1631 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.85 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2184 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.50 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1041 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 8-8 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -5.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -4.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-7 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -2.8 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.0 |
|
