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Carlsbad Lancers (10-9)

Region: CA CIF SState: CACoach: Lv Coniglione

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/10at La Costa Canyon (23-0)CA CIF S88.01L2-15 0.000  
3/12at Francis Parker School (13-6)CA CIF S73.7L6- 7 -0.225  
3/18CATHEDRAL CATHOLIC (12-8)CA CIF S74.0W6- 2 0.250  
3/20SAN DIEGUITO ACADEMY (6-13)CA CIF S67.8W11- 5 0.125  
3/26at Patrick Henry, CA (7-14)CA CIF S68.4L5- 6 -0.300  
4/01WESTVIEW, CA (15-5)CA CIF S75.68L5- 9 -0.225  
4/05vs. Bella Vista # (10-8)CA SJS67.1W11- 3 0.125  
4/05vs. Palo Alto # (3-10)CA WBAL61.3W11- 0 0.000  
4/05vs. Thacher School # (8-4)CA CIF S70.5W8- 3 0.175  
4/15RANCHO BERNARDO (8-9)CA CIF S71.5W10- 6 0.225  
4/17HILLTOP (0-9)CA CIF S61.8W15- 1 0.000  
4/22LA COSTA CANYON (23-0)CA CIF S88.01L3-12 -0.050  
4/25at Westview, CA (15-5)CA CIF S75.68L6-11 -0.175  
4/29POWAY (11-11)CA CIF S77.35L5-11 -0.150  
5/02at Mt. Carmel, CA (9-11)CA CIF S69.0W11- 5 0.200  
5/06TORREY PINES (17-7)CA CIF S78.74L6- 9 -0.150  
5/09at Fallbrook (0-8)CA CIF S64.5W14- 3 0.025  
5/13at Valley Center (8-11)CA CIF S68.9W12-11 0.200  
5/17at Cathedral Catholic (12-8)CA CIF S74.0L13-142ot-0.200  
# Neutral site 76.6     -0.15  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/10ALa Costa Canyon2-15-13   -10       0.93       -2.70
3/12AFrancis Parker School6-7-1   -1       0.93       0.32
3/18HCathedral Catholic6-24   0       ++-0.93       4.22
3/20HSan Dieguito Academy11-56   5       -0.93       0.55
3/26APatrick Henry, CA5-6-1   2       0.93       -3.41
4/01HWestview, CA5-9-4   -1       -0.93       -2.82
4/05NBella Vista11-38   5       +0.00       2.74
4/05NPalo Alto11-011   11       0.00       -0.04
4/05NThacher School8-35   3       0.00       1.68
4/15HRancho Bernardo10-64   1       +-0.93       3.02
4/17HHilltop15-114   18       ––-0.93       -4.21
4/22HLa Costa Canyon3-12-9   -8       -0.93       -0.56
4/25AWestview, CA6-11-5   -3       0.93       -1.97
4/29HPoway5-11-6   -4       -0.93       -1.57
5/02AMt. Carmel, CA11-56   2       ++0.93       4.05
5/06HTorrey Pines6-9-3   -4       -0.93       0.99
5/09AFallbrook14-311   9       0.93       1.83
5/13AValley Center12-111   2       0.93       -0.50
5/17ACathedral Catholic13-14-1   -2       0.93       1.08
         0.002.70

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/10ALa Costa Canyon2-153.00
4/05NPalo Alto11-00.04
4/17HHilltop15-14.21
5/09AFallbrook14-3-1.00
10-goal correction: 0.33

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 72.   Natl CCR Rank 832
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 72.31   Natl Power Rank 832
Natl SOS Rating 70.63   Natl SOS Rank 405
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.15   Natl Quality Win Rank 1373
W-L Pct Rating 0.53   W-L Pct Rank 961
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 10-9   Ave Goal diff (all ) 1.4
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -7.8
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-6   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -6.7
Wins/Losses (top 20) 2-8   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -3.4
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 3.7



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