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Carlsbad Lancers (10-9)

Region: CA CIF S

State: CA

Coach: Lv Coniglione

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/10	at La Costa Canyon (23-0)	CA CIF S	88.0	1	L	2-	15		0.000
3/12	at Francis Parker School (13-6)	CA CIF S	73.7		L	6-	7		-0.225
3/18	CATHEDRAL CATHOLIC (12-8)	CA CIF S	74.0		W	6-	2		0.250
3/20	SAN DIEGUITO ACADEMY (6-13)	CA CIF S	67.8		W	11-	5		0.125
3/26	at Patrick Henry, CA (7-14)	CA CIF S	68.4		L	5-	6		-0.300
4/01	WESTVIEW, CA (15-5)	CA CIF S	75.6	8	L	5-	9		-0.225
4/05	vs. Bella Vista # (10-8)	CA SJS	67.1		W	11-	3		0.125
4/05	vs. Palo Alto # (3-10)	CA PAL	61.1		W	11-	0		0.000
4/05	vs. Thacher School # (8-4)	CA CIF S	70.5		W	8-	3		0.175
4/15	RANCHO BERNARDO (8-9)	CA CIF S	71.5		W	10-	6		0.225
4/17	HILLTOP (0-9)	CA CIF S	61.7		W	15-	1		0.000
4/22	LA COSTA CANYON (23-0)	CA CIF S	88.0	1	L	3-	12		-0.050
4/25	at Westview, CA (15-5)	CA CIF S	75.6	8	L	6-	11		-0.175
4/29	POWAY (11-11)	CA CIF S	77.3	5	L	5-	11		-0.150
5/02	at Mt. Carmel, CA (9-11)	CA CIF S	69.0		W	11-	5		0.200
5/06	TORREY PINES (17-7)	CA CIF S	78.7	4	L	6-	9		-0.150
5/09	at Fallbrook (0-8)	CA CIF S	64.5		W	14-	3		0.025
5/13	at Valley Center (8-11)	CA CIF S	68.9		W	12-	11		0.200
5/17	at Cathedral Catholic (12-8)	CA CIF S	74.0		L	13-	14	2ot	-0.200
# Neutral site			76.5						-0.15

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/10	A	La Costa Canyon	2-	15	-13	-10	–	0.93	-2.70
3/12	A	Francis Parker School	6-	7	-1	-1		0.93	0.32
3/18	H	Cathedral Catholic	6-	2	4	0	++	-0.93	4.22
3/20	H	San Dieguito Academy	11-	5	6	5		-0.93	0.55
3/26	A	Patrick Henry, CA	5-	6	-1	2	–	0.93	-3.41
4/01	H	Westview, CA	5-	9	-4	-1	–	-0.93	-2.82
4/05	N	Bella Vista	11-	3	8	5	+	0.00		2.75
4/05	N	Palo Alto	11-	0	11	11		0.00		-0.22
4/05	N	Thacher School	8-	3	5	3		0.00	1.68
4/15	H	Rancho Bernardo	10-	6	4	1	+	-0.93	3.02
4/17	H	Hilltop	15-	1	14	18	––	-0.93	-4.21
4/22	H	La Costa Canyon	3-	12	-9	-8		-0.93	-0.56
4/25	A	Westview, CA	6-	11	-5	-3		0.93	-1.97
4/29	H	Poway	5-	11	-6	-4		-0.93	-1.57
5/02	A	Mt. Carmel, CA	11-	5	6	2	++	0.93	4.05
5/06	H	Torrey Pines	6-	9	-3	-4		-0.93	0.99
5/09	A	Fallbrook	14-	3	11	9		0.93	1.83
5/13	A	Valley Center	12-	11	1	2		0.93	-0.50
5/17	A	Cathedral Catholic	13-	14	-1	-2		0.93	1.08
									0.00	2.53

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/10	A	La Costa Canyon	2-	15	3.00
4/05	N	Palo Alto	11-	0	0.22
4/17	H	Hilltop	15-	1	4.21
5/09	A	Fallbrook	14-	3	-1.00
10-goal correction: 0.34

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	72.		Natl CCR Rank	832
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	72.32		Natl Power Rank	832
Natl SOS Rating	70.60		Natl SOS Rank	408
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.15		Natl Quality Win Rank	1371
W-L Pct Rating	0.53		W-L Pct Rank	961
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-7.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.7


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