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Centreville Wildcats (2-8)

Region: VA Cncrd

State: VA

Coach: Meghan Doran

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/13	at T.C. Williams (8-7)	VA Pat	70.4		L	5-	13		-0.150
3/26	WESTFIELD, VA (12-6)	VA Cncrd	79.3		L	5-	16		0.000
3/29	J.E.B. STUART (0-9)	VA Natl	57.3		W	18-	4		0.000
4/04	at Robinson Secondary (12-4)	VA Cncrd	82.6	6	L	2-	21		0.000
4/08	at Chantilly (17-3)	VA Cncrd	85.9	2	L	4-	17		0.000
4/11	at Oakton (11-5)	VA Cncrd	85.1	3	L	1-	21		0.000
4/15	FALLS CHURCH (10-5)	VA Natl	70.2		L	7-	9		-0.250
4/24	at Herndon (5-6)	VA Cncrd	76.6		L	4-	15		0.000
4/28	FAIRFAX (3-8)	VA Cncrd	68.0		W	17-	14		0.200
5/01	at Westfield, VA (12-6)	VA Cncrd	79.3		L	5-	17		0.000
			77.7						-0.20

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/13	A	T.C. Williams	5-	13	-8	-4	–	2.28	-3.93
3/26	H	Westfield, VA	5-	16	-11	-10		-2.28	-1.30
3/29	H	J.E.B. Stuart	18-	4	14	14		-2.28	-0.31
4/04	A	Robinson Secondary	2-	21	-19	-17	–	2.28	-2.19
4/08	A	Chantilly	4-	17	-13	-19	++	2.28	5.61
4/11	A	Oakton	1-	21	-20	-20		2.28	-0.29
4/15	H	Falls Church	7-	9	-2	0	–	-2.28	-2.43
4/24	A	Herndon	4-	15	-11	-13		2.28	1.52
4/28	H	Fairfax	17-	14	3	2		-2.28	1.05
5/01	A	Westfield, VA	5-	17	-12	-14	+	2.28	2.26
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/26	H	Westfield, VA	5-	16	1.00
3/29	H	J.E.B. Stuart	18-	4	0.31
4/04	A	Robinson Secondary	2-	21	2.19
4/08	A	Chantilly	4-	17	-5.61
4/11	A	Oakton	1-	21	0.29
4/24	A	Herndon	4-	15	-1.52
5/01	A	Westfield, VA	5-	17	-2.26
10-goal correction: -0.56

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	67.		Natl CCR Rank	1275
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	66.88		Natl Power Rank	1275
Natl SOS Rating	72.82		Natl SOS Rank	299
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.20		Natl Quality Win Rank	1477
W-L Pct Rating	0.20		W-L Pct Rank	1729
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	-7.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-16.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-17.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-14.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.7


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