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Cedar Park Timberwolves (9-7)

Region: TX Cen D1

State: TX

Coach: Tim Sullivan

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
2/18	BOWIE, TX (4-8)	TX Cen D1	65.6		L	9-	11		-0.350
2/20	WESTLAKE (7-9)	TX Cen D1	67.4		W	11-	8		0.175
2/27	LBJ (2-13)	TX Cen D1	60.9		W	10-	6		0.075
3/04	at Knitros Club (2-5)	TX Cen D2	56.0		W	16-	1		0.000
3/20	at Westwood, TX (10-7)	TX Cen D1	68.1		W	13-	5		0.250
3/28	at Westlake (7-9)	TX Cen D1	67.4		L	7-	9		-0.250
3/29	KINGWOOD (BLUE) (12-5)	TX South	74.5	9	L	7-	11		-0.125
3/31	at Bowie, TX (4-8)	TX Cen D1	65.6		W	11-	6		0.225
4/02	ST. ANDREW'S EPISCOPAL (10-9)	TX Cen D1	70.0		L	12-	16		-0.225
4/05	vs. Neuqua Valley # (15-5)	IL DuPage	69.6		W	16-	5		0.275
4/05	at LBJ (2-13)	TX Cen D1	60.9		W	14-	11	2ot	0.150
4/15	at St. Andrew's Episcopal (10-9)	TX Cen D1	70.0		L	8-	9		-0.150
4/18	WESTWOOD, TX (10-7)	TX Cen D1	68.1		L	14-	16	2ot	-0.350
4/22	vs. Westlake # (7-9)	TX Cen D1	67.4		W	14-	10		0.200
4/24	vs. Westwood, TX # (10-7)	TX Cen D1	68.1		W	12-	9		0.200
5/10	vs. Memorial, Houston # (18-4)	TX South	78.1	3	L	6-	15		-0.025
# Neutral site			67.8						0.08

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/18	H	Bowie, TX	9-	11	-2	4	––	-1.58	-5.94
2/20	H	Westlake	11-	8	3	3		-1.58	-0.39
2/27	H	LBJ	10-	6	4	7	–	-1.58	-3.05
3/04	A	Knitros Club	16-	1	15	12	+	1.58	2.76
3/20	A	Westwood, TX	13-	5	8	0	+++	1.58	7.58
3/28	A	Westlake	7-	9	-2	0	–	1.58	-2.23
3/29	H	Kingwood (Blue)	7-	11	-4	-5		-1.58	1.06
3/31	A	Bowie, TX	11-	6	5	1	++	1.58	4.22
4/02	H	St. Andrew's Episcopal	12-	16	-4	-1	–	-1.58	-3.49
4/05	N	Neuqua Valley	16-	5	11	-1	+++	0.00		11.64
4/05	A	LBJ	14-	11	3	4		1.58	-0.89
4/15	A	St. Andrew's Episcopal	8-	9	-1	-4	+	1.58	2.67
4/18	H	Westwood, TX	14-	16	-2	4	––	-1.58	-5.57
4/22	N	Westlake	14-	10	4	2	+	0.00	2.19
4/24	N	Westwood, TX	12-	9	3	2		0.00	1.00
5/10	N	Memorial, Houston	6-	15	-9	-9		0.00	0.06
									0.00	11.64

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/04	A	Knitros Club	16-	1	-2.76
4/05	N	Neuqua Valley	16-	5	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.17

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	69.		Natl CCR Rank	1071
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	68.95		Natl Power Rank	1071
Natl SOS Rating	56.59		Natl SOS Rank	1384
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.08		Natl Quality Win Rank	956
W-L Pct Rating	0.56		W-L Pct Rank	843
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.7

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