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Chaparral, CO Wolverines (9-7 - 1)

Region: CO Contin

State: CO

Coach: Dix Baines

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/08	AIR ACADEMY (17-1)	CO Southn	82.7	2	L	8-	19		-0.125
3/11	KENT DENVER (11-5)	CO Metro	80.8	4	L	9-	11		-0.150
3/13	ARAPAHOE (13-5)	CO Contin	80.4	5	L	12-	17		-0.225
3/14	SMOKY HILL (8-8)	CO Centen	77.6		W	19-	8		0.200
3/26	at Grandview (5-8)	CO Centen	72.3		W	12-	9		0.125
3/27	CHERRY CREEK (15-4)	CO Centen	85.0	1	L	2-	21		0.000
4/01	DOUGLAS COUNTY, CO (4-11)	CO Contin	66.7		W	15-	5		0.000
4/03	RANGEVIEW (0-10)	CO Contin	52.3		W	19-	0		0.000
4/05	at Denver East (8-8)	CO Metro	77.6		L	9-	13		-0.300
4/08	at ThunderRidge (2-10)	CO Contin	69.2		W	16-	7		0.100
4/10	at Golden (10-7)	CO Jeffco	77.6		W	18-	11		0.200
4/12	MULLEN (9-6)	CO Centen	78.2	8	T	10-	10		0.000
4/15	HERITAGE-LITTLETON (16-3)	CO Contin	81.9	3	L	6-	9		-0.150
4/17	at Regis Jesuit (8-8)	CO Contin	77.7		W	11-	8		0.250
4/19	RALSTON VALLEY (8-6)	CO Jeffco	75.3		W	17-	4		0.125
5/01	at Mullen (9-6)	CO Centen	78.2	8	W	11-	10		0.275
5/06	at Air Academy (17-1)	CO Southn	82.7	2	L	8-	16		-0.075
			71.2						0.25

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/08	H	Air Academy	8-	19	-11	-5	––	-0.82	-5.93
3/11	H	Kent Denver	9-	11	-2	-4	+	-0.82	2.09
3/13	H	Arapahoe	12-	17	-5	-1	–	-0.82	-3.61
3/14	H	Smoky Hill	19-	8	11	2	+++	-0.82	9.25
3/26	A	Grandview	12-	9	3	5	–	0.82	-2.43
3/27	H	Cherry Creek	2-	21	-19	-12	–––	-0.82	-7.40
4/01	H	Douglas County, CO	15-	5	10	11		-0.82	-0.68
4/03	H	Rangeview	19-	0	19	24	––	-0.82	-5.04
4/05	A	Denver East	9-	13	-4	2	––	0.82	-5.57
4/08	A	ThunderRidge	16-	7	9	6	+	0.82	2.88
4/10	A	Golden	18-	11	7	2	++	0.82	4.84
4/12	H	Mullen	10-	10	0	1		-0.82	-0.82
4/15	H	Heritage-Littleton	6-	9	-3	-4		-0.82	0.98
4/17	A	Regis Jesuit	11-	8	3	0	+	0.82	2.57
4/19	H	Ralston Valley	17-	4	13	5	+++	-0.82	8.31
5/01	A	Mullen	11-	10	1	-1		0.82	1.82
5/06	A	Air Academy	8-	16	-8	-7		0.82	-1.29
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/08	H	Air Academy	8-	19	1.00
3/14	H	Smoky Hill	19-	8	-1.00
3/27	H	Cherry Creek	2-	21	7.40
4/01	H	Douglas County, CO	15-	5	0.68
4/03	H	Rangeview	19-	0	5.04
4/19	H	Ralston Valley	17-	4	-3.00
10-goal correction: 0.59

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	78.		Natl CCR Rank	352
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	78.44		Natl Power Rank	352
Natl SOS Rating	61.81		Natl SOS Rank	993
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.25		Natl Quality Win Rank	717
W-L Pct Rating	0.56		W-L Pct Rank	844
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.9
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.0


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