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Chattahoochee Cougars (14-5)

Region: GA A4

State: GA

Coach: McIlvain/DiFazio

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/19	at Greater Atlanta Christ (4-12)	GA A4	55.0		W	17-	0		0.000
2/20	at Marist, GA (16-3)	GA A2	76.1	5	W	16-	6		0.150
2/28	at Walton (9-7)	GA A8	70.8		W	14-	9		0.075
3/06	NORTH SPRINGS (2-9)	GA A3	60.3		W	23-	4		0.000
3/08	VERO BEACH (20-2)	FL Dist 8	90.3		L	1-	18		0.000
3/11	MILTON, GA (17-5)	GA A6	80.2	1	L	7-	12		-0.200
3/13	LOVETT (5-9)	GA A8	67.0		W	20-	9		0.000
3/17	at Alpharetta (10-6)	GA A4	71.7		W	21-	2		0.075
3/20	at Lassiter (12-8)	GA A7	74.4	9	W	13-	8		0.125
3/25	at Harrison, GA (13-4)	GA A5	75.2	6	W	17-	10		0.100
3/29	vs. Apex # (19-3)	NC East	79.6		W	15-	13		0.300
4/03	at Westminster School, GA (20-2)	GA A3	77.9	3	L	7-	9		-0.225
4/15	ST. PIUS X (7-9)	GA A2	65.9		W	15-	3		0.000
4/17	CENTENNIAL, GA (10-8)	GA A4	71.8		W	19-	10		0.025
4/21	SOUTH FORSYTH (13-5)	GA A6	74.9	8	W	13-	2		0.050
4/22	NORTHVIEW, GA (15-4)	GA A4	78.1	2	L	13-	14		-0.300
4/24	WESLEYAN SCHOOL (5-11)	GA A4	61.5		W	17-	3		0.000
4/29	at Harrison, GA (13-4)	GA A5	75.2	6	W	11-	8		0.100
5/02	at Westminster School, GA (20-2)	GA A3	77.9	3	L	9-	10		-0.225
# Neutral site			69.9						0.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/19	A	Greater Atlanta Christ	17-	0	17	22	––	1.70	-4.68
2/20	A	Marist, GA	16-	6	10	4	++	1.70	5.96
2/28	A	Walton	14-	9	5	7		1.70	-1.60
3/06	H	North Springs	23-	4	19	19		-1.70	0.31
3/08	H	Vero Beach	1-	18	-17	-11	–––	-1.74		-6.17
3/11	H	Milton, GA	7-	12	-5	-2	–	-1.70	-2.69
3/13	H	Lovett	20-	9	11	13		-1.70	-1.58
3/17	A	Alpharetta	21-	2	19	7	+++	1.70	11.81
3/20	A	Lassiter	13-	8	5	5		1.70	0.34
3/25	A	Harrison, GA	17-	10	7	6		1.70	1.33
3/29	N	Apex	15-	13	2	-2	+	0.00		3.87
4/03	A	Westminster School, GA	7-	9	-2	-1		1.70	-0.96
4/15	H	St. Pius X	15-	3	12	13		-1.70	-1.08
4/17	H	Centennial, GA	19-	10	9	9		-1.70	0.20
4/21	H	South Forsyth	13-	2	11	8	+	-1.70	3.25
4/22	H	Northview, GA	13-	14	-1	2	–	-1.70	-3.11
4/24	H	Wesleyan School	17-	3	14	19	––	-1.70	-4.86
4/29	A	Harrison, GA	11-	8	3	6	–	1.70	-2.67
5/02	A	Westminster School, GA	9-	10	-1	-1		1.70	0.04
									0.00	-2.31

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/19	A	Greater Atlanta Christ	17-	0	4.68
2/20	A	Marist, GA	16-	6	0.00
3/06	H	North Springs	23-	4	-0.31
3/08	H	Vero Beach	1-	18	6.17
3/13	H	Lovett	20-	9	1.58
3/17	A	Alpharetta	21-	2	-9.00
4/15	H	St. Pius X	15-	3	1.08
4/21	H	South Forsyth	13-	2	-1.00
4/24	H	Wesleyan School	17-	3	4.86
10-goal correction: 0.42

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	78.		Natl CCR Rank	395
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	77.73		Natl Power Rank	395
Natl SOS Rating	60.45		Natl SOS Rank	1091
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.05		Natl Quality Win Rank	960
W-L Pct Rating	0.74		W-L Pct Rank	379
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	6.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	0.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	5-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	3.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	9-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	5.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.3


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