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Chapelgate Christian Yellow Jackets (9-9)

Region: MD IAAM B

State: MD

Coach: Katie Lettinga

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/12	LONG REACH (1-11)	MD 3A	69.0		W	15-	4		0.100
3/13	ARCHBISHOP SPALDING (13-6)	MD IAAM A	90.9		L	1-	16		0.000
3/17	at Baltimore Lutheran (16-3)	MD IAAM C	77.2		L	8-	14		-0.125
3/19	at Annapolis Area Christ. (4-9)	MD IAAM B	71.6	7	W	9-	8		0.200
3/31	FRIENDS SCHOOL (12-5)	MD IAAM B	76.3	3	L	11-	12	ot	-0.200
4/04	PARK SCHOOL (13-3)	MD IAAM B	79.3	2	L	7-	19		-0.075
4/07	at St. Timothy's (7-9)	MD IAAM B	71.9	6	W	10-	6		0.200
4/09	GARRISON FOREST (17-3)	MD IAAM B	84.4	1	L	6-	17		0.000
4/11	GLENELG COUNTRY SCHOOL (4-14)	MD IAAM B	71.4	10	W	14-	13		0.150
4/14	STS. PETER & PAUL (12-4)	MD EESIAC	82.4		L	11-	13		-0.075
4/16	at Oldfields School (3-12)	MD IAAM B	71.5	8	L	10-	15		-0.325
4/17	ST. JOHNS CATHOLIC PRE (5-12)	MD IAAM B	71.4	9	W	13-	7		0.125
4/18	ANNAPOLIS AREA CHRIST. (4-9)	MD IAAM B	71.6	7		-
4/21	at St. Johns Catholic Pre (5-12)	MD IAAM B	71.4	9	W	14-	10		0.150
4/23	INST. OF NOTRE DAME (7-11)	MD IAAM B	72.2	5	W	15-	10		0.200
4/24	at Friends School (12-5)	MD IAAM B	76.3	3	L	10-	12		-0.175
4/28	at Inst. of Notre Dame (7-11)	MD IAAM B	72.2	5	W	14-	9		0.225
5/06	ST. TIMOTHY'S (7-9)	MD IAAM B	71.9	6	W	18-	9		0.175
5/08	at Garrison Forest (17-3)	MD IAAM B	84.4	1	L	5-	16		0.000
			75.4						0.55

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/12	H	Long Reach	15-	4	11	6	++	-0.85		5.43
3/13	H	Archbishop Spalding	1-	16	-15	-17		-0.63		1.50
3/17	A	Baltimore Lutheran	8-	14	-6	-5		1.09		-1.44
3/19	A	Annapolis Area Christ.	9-	8	1	2		0.71	-0.68
3/31	H	Friends School	11-	12	-1	-2		-0.71	0.66
4/04	H	Park School	7-	19	-12	-7	––	-0.71	-4.96
4/07	A	St. Timothy's	10-	6	4	2	+	0.71	2.37
4/09	H	Garrison Forest	6-	17	-11	-10		-0.71	-1.34
4/11	H	Glenelg Country School	14-	13	1	4	–	-0.71	-3.34
4/14	H	Sts. Peter & Paul	11-	13	-2	-7	++	-1.49		5.21
4/16	A	Oldfields School	10-	15	-5	3	–––	0.71	-7.57
4/17	H	St. Johns Catholic Pre	13-	7	6	5		-0.71	0.70
4/21	A	St. Johns Catholic Pre	14-	10	4	4		0.71	0.12
4/23	H	Inst. of Notre Dame	15-	10	5	2	+	-0.71	2.75
4/24	A	Friends School	10-	12	-2	-3		0.71	1.09
4/28	A	Inst. of Notre Dame	14-	9	5	1	++	0.71	4.17
5/06	H	St. Timothy's	18-	9	9	3	++	-0.71	5.94
5/08	A	Garrison Forest	5-	16	-11	-11		0.71	0.09
									0.00	10.70

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/12	H	Long Reach	15-	4	-1.00
3/13	H	Archbishop Spalding	1-	16	-1.50
4/04	H	Park School	7-	19	2.00
4/09	H	Garrison Forest	6-	17	1.00
5/08	A	Garrison Forest	5-	16	-0.09
10-goal correction: 0.02

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	74.		Natl CCR Rank	695
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	73.73		Natl Power Rank	695
Natl SOS Rating	68.36		Natl SOS Rank	520
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.55		Natl Quality Win Rank	381
W-L Pct Rating	0.50		W-L Pct Rank	996
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	2-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.9
Wins/Losses (top 10)	8-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-0.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	8-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.0


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