| Region: VA Cncrd | State: VA | Coach: Michele Gates |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/12 | H | West Springfield, VA | 18- | 3 | 15 | 11 | ++ | -2.28 | 4.40 | |
3/14 | A | Thomas Jefferson S&T | 18- | 8 | 10 | 9 | | 2.28 | 1.48 | |
3/27 | H | Mt. Vernon | 21- | 0 | 21 | 25 | –– | -2.28 | -4.07 | |
3/31 | A | Robinson Secondary | 13- | 11 | 2 | 0 | + | 2.28 | 2.48 | |
4/01 | A | T.C. Williams | 18- | 6 | 12 | 12 | | 2.28 | -0.26 | |
4/08 | H | Centreville | 17- | 4 | 13 | 19 | –– | -2.28 | -5.61 | |
4/10 | H | Fairfax | 16- | 1 | 15 | 18 | – | -2.28 | -3.28 | |
4/17 | A | Westfield, VA | 8- | 5 | 3 | 2 | | 2.28 | 0.93 | |
4/22 | H | Oakton | 9- | 8 | 1 | 1 | | -2.28 | -0.18 | |
4/23 | A | Herndon | 21- | 9 | 12 | 4 | +++ | 2.28 | 8.19 | |
4/29 | H | Langley | 17- | 8 | 9 | 10 | | -2.28 | -0.51 | |
5/05 | H | Oakton | 8- | 7 | 1 | 1 | | -2.28 | -0.18 | |
5/09 | N | Robinson Secondary | 13- | 14 | -1 | 2 | – | 0.00 | -2.80 | |
5/13 | H | Washington-Lee | 20- | 5 | 15 | 21 | ––– | -2.28 | -6.34 | |
5/15 | H | Stone Bridge | 18- | 5 | 13 | 5 | +++ | -2.28 | 7.69 | |
5/19 | N | Westfield, VA | 17- | 6 | 11 | 4 | +++ | 0.00 | 6.65 | |
5/21 | N | Oakton | 12- | 14 | -2 | -1 | | 0.00 | -0.90 | |
6/01 | H | Broad Run | 15- | 8 | 7 | 7 | | -2.28 | -0.41 | |
6/05 | N | Albemarle | 11- | 9 | 2 | 1 | | 0.00 | 0.63 | |
6/07 | N | Oakton | 11- | 20 | -9 | -1 | ––– | 0.00 | -7.90 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/12 | H | West Springfield, VA | 18- | 3 | -4.40 |
3/14 | A | Thomas Jefferson S&T | 18- | 8 | 0.00 |
3/27 | H | Mt. Vernon | 21- | 0 | 4.07 |
4/01 | A | T.C. Williams | 18- | 6 | 0.26 |
4/08 | H | Centreville | 17- | 4 | 5.61 |
4/10 | H | Fairfax | 16- | 1 | 3.28 |
4/23 | A | Herndon | 21- | 9 | -2.00 |
5/13 | H | Washington-Lee | 20- | 5 | 6.34 |
5/15 | H | Stone Bridge | 18- | 5 | -3.00 |
5/19 | N | Westfield, VA | 17- | 6 | -1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.46 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 86. | | Natl CCR Rank | 93 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 85.86 | | Natl Power Rank | 92 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 75.43 | | Natl SOS Rank | 218 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.90 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 207 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.85 | | W-L Pct Rank | 146 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 17-3 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 7.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 3-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -1.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 6-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 1.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 11-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 4.6 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 0.0 |
|
