| Region: CT Div 1 | State: CT | Coach: Dan Warburton |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
4/03 | at Newtown (19-3) | CT Div 1 | 81.2 | 8 | L | 6- | 18 | | -0.100 |
4/05 | at Simsbury (5-8) | CT Div 1 | 72.9 | | W | 13- | 5 | | 0.175 |
4/08 | SHELTON (0-16) | CT Div 2 | 60.5 | | W | 16- | 2 | | 0.000 |
4/10 | at West Haven (6-10) | CT Div 2 | 68.6 | | W | 15- | 9 | | 0.075 |
4/12 | SOUTH WINDSOR (11-6) | CT Div 1 | 78.1 | | L | 14- | 15 | | -0.225 |
4/15 | SACRED HEART ACAD, CT (5-11) | CT Div 2 | 66.5 | | W | 17- | 4 | | 0.000 |
4/17 | at Branford (6-11) | CT Div 1 | 73.1 | | L | 6- | 7 | 2ot | -0.275 |
4/22 | MERCY, CT (9-10) | CT Div 1 | 73.2 | | W | 13- | 6 | | 0.150 |
4/24 | at Amity (6-10) | CT Div 2 | 72.7 | | W | 12- | 9 | | 0.200 |
4/30 | DANIEL HAND (15-5) | CT Div 1 | 79.6 | 10 | L | 9- | 17 | | -0.200 |
5/02 | at Hamden (12-7) | CT Div 1 | 74.5 | | W | 10- | 9 | | 0.200 |
5/06 | GUILFORD, CT (13-8) | CT Div 1 | 76.8 | | W | 17- | 10 | | 0.225 |
5/10 | at Glastonbury (14-3) | CT Div 1 | 82.0 | 6 | L | 5- | 12 | | -0.050 |
5/13 | CONARD (9-8) | CT Div 1 | 75.9 | | W | 13- | 12 | | 0.225 |
5/15 | NEW CANAAN (16-5) | CT Div 1 | 83.1 | 4 | L | 9- | 19 | | 0.000 |
5/17 | NORWICH FREE ACAD (7-8) | CT Div 1 | 69.9 | | W | 15- | 7 | | 0.025 |
5/21 | BRANFORD (6-11) | CT Div 1 | 73.1 | | W | 13- | 7 | | 0.175 |
5/22 | GUILFORD, CT (13-8) | CT Div 1 | 76.8 | | L | 13- | 14 | | -0.275 |
5/29 | CONARD (9-8) | CT Div 1 | 75.9 | | L | 8- | 11 | | -0.275 |
| | 70.9 | | | | | | 0.05 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/03 | A | Newtown | 6- | 18 | -12 | -6 | –– | 0.81 | -5.55 | |
4/05 | A | Simsbury | 13- | 5 | 8 | 3 | ++ | 0.81 | 5.36 | |
4/08 | H | Shelton | 16- | 2 | 14 | 15 | | -0.81 | -1.00 | |
4/10 | A | West Haven | 15- | 9 | 6 | 7 | | 0.81 | -1.43 | |
4/12 | H | South Windsor | 14- | 15 | -1 | -1 | | -0.81 | 0.36 | |
4/15 | H | Sacred Heart Acad, CT | 17- | 4 | 13 | 11 | | -0.81 | 1.59 | |
4/17 | A | Branford | 6- | 7 | -1 | 1 | | 0.81 | -1.91 | |
4/22 | H | Mercy, CT | 13- | 6 | 7 | 4 | + | -0.81 | 2.83 | |
4/24 | A | Amity | 12- | 9 | 3 | 2 | | 0.81 | 0.70 | |
4/30 | H | Daniel Hand | 9- | 17 | -8 | -2 | –– | -0.81 | -5.83 | |
5/02 | A | Hamden | 10- | 9 | 1 | 2 | | 0.81 | -0.97 | |
5/06 | H | Guilford, CT | 17- | 10 | 7 | 1 | +++ | -0.81 | 6.46 | |
5/10 | A | Glastonbury | 5- | 12 | -7 | -8 | | 0.81 | 1.32 | |
5/13 | H | Conard | 13- | 12 | 1 | 1 | | -0.81 | 0.36 | |
5/15 | H | New Canaan | 9- | 19 | -10 | -10 | | -0.81 | 0.41 | |
5/17 | H | Norwich Free Acad | 15- | 7 | 8 | 9 | | -0.81 | -1.01 | |
5/21 | H | Branford | 13- | 7 | 6 | 3 | + | -0.81 | 3.48 | |
5/22 | H | Guilford, CT | 13- | 14 | -1 | 1 | | -0.81 | -1.54 | |
5/29 | H | Conard | 8- | 11 | -3 | 1 | – | -0.81 | -3.64 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/03 | A | Newtown | 6- | 18 | 2.00 |
4/08 | H | Shelton | 16- | 2 | 1.00 |
4/15 | H | Sacred Heart Acad, CT | 17- | 4 | -1.59 |
5/15 | H | New Canaan | 9- | 19 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.07 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 76. | | Natl CCR Rank | 511 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 75.99 | | Natl Power Rank | 511 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 61.19 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1038 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.05 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 957 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.58 | | W-L Pct Rank | 802 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 11-8 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 1.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -10.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -9.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 2-7 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -3.8 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 0.7 |
|
