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Chelsea Red Devils (16-1)

Region: VT DII

State: VT

Coach: Judy Reed

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/19	LAMOUILLE UNION (1-11)	VT DII	58.2		W	21-	1		0.000
4/25	RANDOLPH UNION, VT (13-5)	VT DII	67.8		W	11-	3		0.000
5/02	U-32 (7-9)	VT DII	61.2		W	12-	4		0.000
5/03	at Hartford (8-8)	VT DII	67.2		W	13-	2		0.125
5/06	at Sharon Academy (2-7)	VT DII	57.8		W	14-	2		0.000
5/08	ST. JOHNSBURY ACADEMY (6-10)	VT DII	59.9		W	19-	0		0.000
5/10	BFA-ST. ALBANS (7-7)	VT DII	65.9		W	13-	4		0.025
5/14	MONTPELIER (6-7)	VT DII	61.0		W	16-	1		0.000
5/15	GREEN MOUNTAIN VALLEY (7-3)	VT DII	64.1		W	14-	3		0.000
5/16	at Oxbow Union (3-13)	VT DII	58.5		W	23-	4		0.000
5/21	at Lamouille Union (1-11)	VT DII	58.2		W	17-	0		0.000
5/23	at Rice Memorial (3-11)	VT DII	59.1		W	15-	4		0.000
5/28	at Randolph Union, VT (13-5)	VT DII	67.8		W	13-	3		0.100
5/30	at U-32 (7-9)	VT DII	61.2		W	12-	4		0.000
6/07	SHARON ACADEMY (2-7)	VT DII	57.8		W	16-	3		0.000
6/11	BFA-ST. ALBANS (7-7)	VT DII	65.9		W	10-	6		0.025
6/14	vs. Burr & Burton Academy # (12-6)	VT DII	73.3	8	L	10-	11		-0.275
# Neutral site			62.2						0.00

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/19	H	Lamouille Union	21-	1	20	17	+	-1.98	3.40
4/25	H	Randolph Union, VT	11-	3	8	10	–	-1.98	-2.05
5/02	H	U-32	12-	4	8	14	––	-1.98	-5.74
5/03	A	Hartford	13-	2	11	5	++	1.98	5.61
5/06	A	Sharon Academy	14-	2	12	14		1.98	-1.97
5/08	H	St. Johnsbury Academy	19-	0	19	15	+	-1.98	3.57
5/10	H	BFA-St. Albans	13-	4	9	9		-1.98	-0.04
5/14	H	Montpelier	16-	1	15	15		-1.98	0.25
5/15	H	Green Mountain Valley	14-	3	11	13	–	-1.98	-2.16
5/16	A	Oxbow Union	23-	4	19	14	++	1.98	5.46
5/21	A	Lamouille Union	17-	0	17	13	++	1.98	4.37
5/23	A	Rice Memorial	15-	4	11	12		1.98	-0.80
5/28	A	Randolph Union, VT	13-	3	10	6	+	1.98	3.92
5/30	A	U-32	12-	4	8	10		1.98	-1.77
6/07	H	Sharon Academy	16-	3	13	18	––	-1.98	-4.93
6/11	H	BFA-St. Albans	10-	6	4	9	––	-1.98	-5.04
6/14	N	Burr & Burton Academy	10-	11	-1	1	–	0.00	-2.06
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/19	H	Lamouille Union	21-	1	-3.40
5/03	A	Hartford	13-	2	-1.00
5/06	A	Sharon Academy	14-	2	1.97
5/08	H	St. Johnsbury Academy	19-	0	-3.57
5/14	H	Montpelier	16-	1	-0.25
5/15	H	Green Mountain Valley	14-	3	2.16
5/16	A	Oxbow Union	23-	4	-5.46
5/21	A	Lamouille Union	17-	0	-4.37
5/23	A	Rice Memorial	15-	4	0.80
5/28	A	Randolph Union, VT	13-	3	0.00
6/07	H	Sharon Academy	16-	3	4.93
10-goal correction: -0.48

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	73.		Natl CCR Rank	719
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	73.58		Natl Power Rank	719
Natl SOS Rating	48.88		Natl SOS Rank	2004
Natl Quality Win Rating	n/a		Natl Quality Win Rank	n/a
W-L Pct Rating	0.94		W-L Pct Rank	43
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	16-1		Ave Goal diff (all )	11.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-1.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	10-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	9.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.3


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