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Chenango Forks Blue Devils (0-11)

Region: NY C Sec 4

State: NY

Coach: Roy Deyo

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/01	OWEGO FREE ACADEMY (5-8)	NY C Sec 4	73.2	9	L	2-	14		-0.075
4/03	at Johnson City (3-14)	NY C Sec 4	71.8		L	11-	13		-0.175
4/09	UNION-ENDICOTT (11-6)	NY B Sec 4	75.9	4	L	4-	20		0.000
4/11	at Corning East (14-7)	NY C Sec 4	76.8	3	L	1-	16		0.000
4/14	at Binghamton (15-4)	NY A Sec 4	77.6	1		-
4/28	CORNING WEST (10-6)	NY A Sec 4	75.4	5	L	6-	19		0.000
4/30	at Ithaca (13-8)	NY A Sec 4	77.1	2	L	4-	18		0.000
5/05	HORSEHEADS (6-8)	NY B Sec 4	74.2	6	L	1-	17		0.000
5/08	at Binghamton (15-4)	NY A Sec 4	77.6	1	L	2-	19		0.000
5/12	at Owego Free Academy (5-8)	NY C Sec 4	73.2	9	L	5-	10		-0.050
5/20	at Seton Catholic Central (2-11)	NY C Sec 4	72.3	10	L	9-	18		-0.125
5/27	at Johnson City (3-14)	NY C Sec 4	71.8		L	9-	10		-0.175
			71.3						-0.60

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/01	H	Owego Free Academy	2-	14	-12	-7	––	-0.93	-5.48
4/03	A	Johnson City	11-	13	-2	-3		0.93	1.01
4/09	H	Union-Endicott	4-	20	-16	-14		-0.93	-1.92
4/11	A	Corning East	1-	16	-15	-17		0.93	1.76
4/28	H	Corning West	6-	19	-13	-14		-0.93	0.64
4/30	A	Ithaca	4-	18	-14	-18	++	0.93	4.28
5/05	H	Horseheads	1-	17	-16	-13	–	-0.93	-3.23
5/08	A	Binghamton	2-	19	-17	-18		0.93	1.40
5/12	A	Owego Free Academy	5-	10	-5	-8	+	0.93	3.39
5/20	A	Seton Catholic Central	9-	18	-9	-5	–	0.93	-3.86
5/27	A	Johnson City	9-	10	-1	-3	+	0.93	2.01
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/01	H	Owego Free Academy	2-	14	2.00
4/09	H	Union-Endicott	4-	20	1.92
4/11	A	Corning East	1-	16	-1.76
4/28	H	Corning West	6-	19	-0.64
4/30	A	Ithaca	4-	18	-4.28
5/05	H	Horseheads	1-	17	3.23
5/08	A	Binghamton	2-	19	-1.40
10-goal correction: -0.08

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	71.		Natl CCR Rank	905
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	71.08		Natl Power Rank	905
Natl SOS Rating	61.67		Natl SOS Rank	999
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.60		Natl Quality Win Rank	1995
W-L Pct Rating	0.00		W-L Pct Rank	2145
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	0-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-10.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-15.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-9		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-13.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-11		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.0


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