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Bishop Sullivan Crusaders (10-7)

Region: VA TCIS

State: VA

Coach: Patty Nelson

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/10	MAURY (5-6)	VA HRLAX	70.8		W	20-	11		0.075
3/14	at Cape Henry Collegiate (13-3)	VA TCIS	79.6	10	L	7-	12		-0.175
3/17	NANSEMOND-SUFFOLK ACAD (5-7)	VA TCIS	72.2		W	13-	7		0.100
3/20	NORFOLK COLLEGIATE (6-12)	VA TCIS	68.8		W	14-	2		0.000
4/01	NORFOLK ACADEMY (6-9)	VA LIS	73.2		W	14-	12		0.150
4/03	at Norfolk Collegiate (6-12)	VA TCIS	68.8		W	15-	8		0.100
4/10	BISHOP O'CONNELL (10-8)	DC WCAC	77.1		L	14-	15	ot	-0.250
4/12	PAUL VI CATHOLIC, VA (7-11)	DC WCAC	75.1		L	9-	10		-0.300
4/14	at Maury (5-6)	VA HRLAX	70.8		W	15-	10		0.175
4/17	ST. GERTRUDE'S (0-12)	VA LIS	62.7		W	19-	1		0.000
4/18	vs. Notre Dame Acad, Can # ( -)				W	17-	5
4/22	CAPE HENRY COLLEGIATE (13-3)	VA TCIS	79.6	10	L	14-	22		-0.275
5/02	FRANK COX (5-3)	VA HRLAX	67.6		W	22-	2		0.000
5/05	at Nansemond-Suffolk Acad (5-7)	VA TCIS	72.2		L	14-	15	ot	-0.275
5/06	NORFOLK COLLEGIATE (6-12)	VA TCIS	68.8		W	17-	7		0.000
5/07	at Cape Henry Collegiate (13-3)	VA TCIS	79.6	10	L	18-	22		-0.175
5/13	at Collegiate School (19-2)	VA LIS	88.3	1	L	7-	15		0.000
# Neutral site			76.3						-0.85

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/10	H	Maury	20-	11	9	7		-2.28	1.68
3/14	A	Cape Henry Collegiate	7-	12	-5	-3		2.28	-1.81
3/17	H	Nansemond-Suffolk Acad	13-	7	6	6		-2.28	0.15
3/20	H	Norfolk Collegiate	14-	2	12	10		-2.28	1.70
4/01	H	Norfolk Academy	14-	12	2	4	–	-2.28	-2.07
4/03	A	Norfolk Collegiate	15-	8	7	6		2.28	1.26
4/10	H	Bishop O'Connell	14-	15	-1	0		-2.17		-0.88
4/12	H	Paul VI Catholic, VA	9-	10	-1	2	–	-2.17		-2.85
4/14	A	Maury	15-	10	5	3	+	2.28	2.24
4/17	H	St. Gertrude's	19-	1	18	17		-2.28	1.16
4/22	H	Cape Henry Collegiate	14-	22	-8	1	–––	-2.28	-9.37
5/02	H	Frank Cox	22-	2	20	14	++	-2.28	5.71
5/05	A	Nansemond-Suffolk Acad	14-	15	-1	1	–	2.28	-2.29
5/06	H	Norfolk Collegiate	17-	7	10	10		-2.28	-0.30
5/07	A	Cape Henry Collegiate	18-	22	-4	-3		2.28	-0.81
5/13	A	Collegiate School	7-	15	-8	-11	+	2.28	2.73
									0.00	-3.73

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/20	H	Norfolk Collegiate	14-	2	-1.70
4/17	H	St. Gertrude's	19-	1	-1.16
5/02	H	Frank Cox	22-	2	-5.70
5/06	H	Norfolk Collegiate	17-	7	0.30
10-goal correction: -0.52

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	75.		Natl CCR Rank	607
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	74.82		Natl Power Rank	607
Natl SOS Rating	69.95		Natl SOS Rank	444
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.85		Natl Quality Win Rank	2186
W-L Pct Rating	0.59		W-L Pct Rank	786
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.7


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