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Churchill Bulldogs (8-7)

Region: MD 4A

State: MD

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/01	at Poolesville (12-2)	MD 1A	77.0		L	10-	11		-0.200
4/03	SENECA VALLEY, MD (3-11)	MD 3A	66.9		W	16-	5		0.000
4/07	WOOTTON (15-1)	MD 4A	82.1		L	5-	15		-0.100
4/09	at Magruder (1-9)	MD 4A	69.2		W	18-	9		0.100
4/11	at Richard Montgomery (3-7)	MD 4A	71.4		W	15-	10		0.150
4/17	WALTER JOHNSON (8-6)	MD 4A	75.3		W	15-	8		0.200
4/19	at Bethesda-Chevy Chase (9-4)	MD 3A	78.8		L	14-	19		-0.075
4/22	WALT WHITMAN, MD (2-11)	MD 4A	71.3		W	12-	8		0.150
4/25	SHERWOOD, MD (10-5)	MD 4A	77.9		L	8-	20		-0.150
4/29	at Springbrook (2-9)	MD 4A	65.8		W	16-	8		0.050
5/02	GAITHERSBURG (6-7)	MD 4A	74.2		L	12-	15		-0.325
5/06	at Quince Orchard (12-2)	MD 4A	80.5		L	12-	21		-0.075
5/08	WALT WHITMAN, MD (2-11)	MD 4A	71.3		W	10-	8		0.150
5/10	at Sherwood, MD (10-5)	MD 4A	77.9		W	12-	11		0.400
5/13	at Blake, MD (12-3)	MD 4A	77.8		L	18-	19	2ot	-0.175
			73.2						0.10

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/01	A	Poolesville	10-	11	-1	-2		0.99	0.75
4/03	H	Seneca Valley, MD	16-	5	11	10		-0.99	1.08
4/07	H	Wootton	5-	15	-10	-6	–	-0.99	-3.63
4/09	A	Magruder	18-	9	9	6	+	0.99	3.49
4/11	A	Richard Montgomery	15-	10	5	4		0.99	1.10
4/17	H	Walter Johnson	15-	8	7	2	++	-0.99	5.44
4/19	A	Bethesda-Chevy Chase	14-	19	-5	-7		0.99	1.83
4/22	H	Walt Whitman, MD	12-	8	4	4		-0.99	0.15
4/25	H	Sherwood, MD	8-	20	-12	-4	–––	-0.99	-8.40
4/29	A	Springbrook	16-	8	8	8		0.99	0.05
5/02	H	Gaithersburg	12-	15	-3	3	––	-0.99	-5.79
5/06	A	Quince Orchard	12-	21	-9	-7	–	0.99	-2.45
5/08	H	Walt Whitman, MD	10-	8	2	4		-0.99	-1.85
5/10	A	Sherwood, MD	12-	11	1	-6	+++	0.99	6.58
5/13	A	Blake, MD	18-	19	-1	-3		0.99	1.65
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/03	H	Seneca Valley, MD	16-	5	-1.08
4/07	H	Wootton	5-	15	0.00
4/25	H	Sherwood, MD	8-	20	2.00
10-goal correction: 0.06

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	75.		Natl CCR Rank	556
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	75.62		Natl Power Rank	556
Natl SOS Rating	64.41		Natl SOS Rank	796
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.10		Natl Quality Win Rank	880
W-L Pct Rating	0.53		W-L Pct Rank	916
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.7


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