| Conference: ECIC | Region: NY A Sec 6 | State: NY | Coach: Doug Kohler |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/05 | H | Orchard Park | 7- | 11 | -4 | -4 | | -1.72 | 0.34 | |
4/07 | A | North Tonawanda | 16- | 1 | 15 | 8 | +++ | 1.72 | 7.06 | |
4/22 | A | Frontier | 8- | 9 | -1 | -4 | + | 1.72 | 2.52 | |
4/23 | H | West Seneca East | 8- | 9 | -1 | 1 | – | -1.72 | -2.18 | |
4/24 | H | Lockport | 14- | 10 | 4 | 5 | | -1.72 | -1.48 | |
4/26 | H | Williamsville North | 9- | 12 | -3 | 0 | – | -1.72 | -3.47 | |
4/28 | A | Lancaster, NY | 2- | 11 | -9 | -12 | + | 1.72 | 2.58 | |
4/29 | H | Nichols School | 13- | 10 | 3 | 1 | + | -1.72 | 2.27 | |
5/02 | H | North Tonawanda | 15- | 4 | 11 | 11 | | -1.72 | -0.38 | |
5/05 | A | Orchard Park | 10- | 16 | -6 | -8 | | 1.72 | 1.78 | |
5/07 | H | Frontier | 8- | 7 | 1 | 0 | | -1.72 | 1.08 | |
5/09 | A | Lockport | 12- | 10 | 2 | 2 | | 1.72 | -0.04 | |
5/12 | A | Williamsville North | 8- | 13 | -5 | -3 | – | 1.72 | -2.02 | |
5/14 | H | Lancaster, NY | 3- | 15 | -12 | -8 | – | -1.72 | -3.86 | |
5/15 | A | Nichols School | 6- | 15 | -9 | -3 | ––– | 1.72 | -6.29 | |
5/17 | H | West Seneca West | 9- | 10 | -1 | 1 | – | -1.72 | -2.01 | |
5/19 | A | Gates-Chili | 18- | 17 | 1 | -1 | | 1.25 | | 1.73 |
5/28 | A | Frontier | 14- | 12 | 2 | -4 | ++ | 1.72 | 5.52 | |
5/30 | A | Lancaster, NY | 2- | 15 | -13 | -12 | | 1.72 | -1.42 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 1.73 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/07 | A | North Tonawanda | 16- | 1 | -5.00 |
5/02 | H | North Tonawanda | 15- | 4 | 0.38 |
5/14 | H | Lancaster, NY | 3- | 15 | 2.00 |
5/30 | A | Lancaster, NY | 2- | 15 | 1.42 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.06 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 70. | | Natl CCR Rank | 948 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 70.49 | | Natl Power Rank | 948 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 67.48 | | Natl SOS Rank | 571 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.07 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1257 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.42 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1220 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 8-11 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -1.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -8.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 3-10 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -4.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 5-11 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -3.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -3.3 |
|
