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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Clear Lake Falcons (4-10)

Region: TX South

State: TX

Coach: Mike Ormsby

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
2/10	LBJ (2-13)	TX Cen D1	60.9		W	13-	6		0.050
2/18	WESTCHESTER-STRATFORD (0-13)	TX South	61.1		W	17-	7		0.050
2/26	BELLAIRE (7-6)	TX South	73.2		L	7-	10		-0.150
3/11	THE WOODLANDS (6-9)	TX South	69.6		W	13-	12		0.225
3/14	MEMORIAL, HOUSTON (18-4)	TX South	78.1	3	L	6-	12		-0.100
3/25	at Klein (8-10)	TX South	68.7		L	7-	8		-0.225
3/28	KINKAID SCHOOL (12-13)	TX South	71.1		L	6-	11		-0.200
4/03	at Cy-Fair (14-4)	TX South	77.7	5	L	9-	20		0.000
4/05	at Kingwood (Blue) (12-5)	TX South	74.5	9	L	9-	10		-0.075
4/07	KINGWOOD CLUB (WHITE) (1-12)	TX South	62.8		W	16-	3		0.075
4/09	EPISCOPAL, HOUSTON (13-4)	TX Indep	77.8	4	L	6-	19		-0.075
4/12	LAMAR (6-11)	TX South	69.2		L	9-	10		-0.250
4/15	ST. JOHN'S, TX (21-3)	TX South	82.5	2	L	4-	17		0.000
4/21	at Klein (8-10)	TX South	68.7		L	16-	17		-0.225
			72.2						-0.90

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/10	H	LBJ	13-	6	7	8		-1.58	-1.35
2/18	H	Westchester-Stratford	17-	7	10	8	+	-1.58	2.15
2/26	H	Bellaire	7-	10	-3	-4		-1.58	0.62
3/11	H	The Woodlands	13-	12	1	1		-1.58	0.37
3/14	H	Memorial, Houston	6-	12	-6	-6		-1.58	0.18
3/25	A	Klein	7-	8	-1	-1		1.58	-0.50
3/28	H	Kinkaid School	6-	11	-5	-2	–	-1.58	-3.46
4/03	A	Cy-Fair	9-	20	-11	-10		1.58	-0.88
4/05	A	Kingwood (Blue)	9-	10	-1	-7	++	1.58	5.91
4/07	H	Kingwood Club (White)	16-	3	13	7	++	-1.58	5.89
4/09	H	Episcopal, Houston	6-	19	-13	-7	–––	-1.58	-6.07
4/12	H	Lamar	9-	10	-1	0		-1.58	-0.64
4/15	H	St. John's, TX	4-	17	-13	-11		-1.58	-1.73
4/21	A	Klein	16-	17	-1	-1		1.58	-0.50
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/18	H	Westchester-Stratford	17-	7	0.00
4/03	A	Cy-Fair	9-	20	1.00
4/07	H	Kingwood Club (White)	16-	3	-3.00
4/09	H	Episcopal, Houston	6-	19	3.00
4/15	H	St. John's, TX	4-	17	1.73
10-goal correction: 0.19

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	68.		Natl CCR Rank	1161
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	68.21		Natl Power Rank	1161
Natl SOS Rating	63.01		Natl SOS Rank	908
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.90		Natl Quality Win Rank	2198
W-L Pct Rating	0.29		W-L Pct Rank	1539
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-10.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-8.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-10		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.0

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