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Columbus, GA Blue Devils (14-5)

Region: GA A1

State: GA

Coach: John Kocian

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/28	at Woodward Academy, GA (12-4)	GA A5	69.4		L	7-	12		-0.225
3/01	at East Coweta (0-10)	GA A1	50.6		W	20-	1		0.000
3/06	at Northgate, GA (1-9)	GA A1	55.5		W	18-	8		0.000
3/12	STARR'S MILL (12-4)	GA A1	67.2		W	11-	5		0.175
3/15	at Whitewater (6-9)	GA A1	61.4		W	11-	9		0.125
3/18	NORTHGATE, GA (1-9)	GA A1	55.5		W	25-	4		0.000
3/22	at Sprayberry (7-11)	GA A7	63.1		W	12-	9		0.150
3/26	NEWNAN (6-6)	GA A1	63.4		W	16-	5		0.075
3/28	vs. Westminster School, GA # (20-2)	GA A3	77.9	3	L	3-	15		-0.025
3/29	vs. Centennial, GA # (10-8)	GA A4	71.8		L	8-	18		-0.175
4/03	at Starr's Mill (12-4)	GA A1	67.2		W	8-	6		0.250
4/15	EAST COWETA (0-10)	GA A1	50.6		W	19-	2		0.000
4/17	MCINTOSH (14-3)	GA A1	73.5	10	L	7-	10		-0.275
4/18	at Newnan (6-6)	GA A1	63.4		W	11-	9		0.175
4/21	WHITEWATER (6-9)	GA A1	61.4		W	15-	10		0.050
4/23	at McIntosh (14-3)	GA A1	73.5	10	W	15-	9		0.300
4/25	TRI-CITIES (0-15)	GA A5	46.1		W	18-	0		0.000
4/30	POPE (9-5)	GA A8	67.4		W	16-	8		0.225
5/02	MARIST, GA (16-3)	GA A2	76.1	5	L	9-	13		-0.175
# Neutral site			61.0						0.65

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/28	A	Woodward Academy, GA	7-	12	-5	-1	––	1.70	-4.46
3/01	A	East Coweta	20-	1	19	15	+	1.70	3.61
3/06	A	Northgate, GA	18-	8	10	11		1.70	-1.05
3/12	H	Starr's Mill	11-	5	6	3	+	-1.70	2.73
3/15	A	Whitewater	11-	9	2	5	–	1.70	-2.82
3/18	H	Northgate, GA	25-	4	21	14	+++	-1.70	6.55
3/22	A	Sprayberry	12-	9	3	4		1.70	-1.10
3/26	H	Newnan	16-	5	11	7	++	-1.70	4.20
3/28	N	Westminster School, GA	3-	15	-12	-9	–	0.00	-2.58
3/29	N	Centennial, GA	8-	18	-10	-3	–––	0.00	-7.02
4/03	A	Starr's Mill	8-	6	2	0	+	1.70	2.13
4/15	H	East Coweta	19-	2	17	19		-1.70	-1.79
4/17	H	McIntosh	7-	10	-3	1	––	-1.70	-4.36
4/18	A	Newnan	11-	9	2	3		1.70	-1.40
4/21	H	Whitewater	15-	10	5	8	–	-1.70	-3.23
4/23	A	McIntosh	15-	9	6	-2	+++	1.70	8.05
4/25	H	Tri-Cities	18-	0	18	21	–	-1.70	-2.76
4/30	H	Pope	16-	8	8	1	+++	-1.70	6.67
5/02	H	Marist, GA	9-	13	-4	-3		-1.70	-1.37
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/01	A	East Coweta	20-	1	-3.61
3/06	A	Northgate, GA	18-	8	1.05
3/18	H	Northgate, GA	25-	4	-6.55
3/26	H	Newnan	16-	5	-1.00
3/28	N	Westminster School, GA	3-	15	2.00
3/29	N	Centennial, GA	8-	18	0.00
4/15	H	East Coweta	19-	2	1.79
4/25	H	Tri-Cities	18-	0	2.76
10-goal correction: -0.19

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	71.		Natl CCR Rank	938
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	70.64		Natl Power Rank	938
Natl SOS Rating	48.22		Natl SOS Rank	2029
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.65		Natl Quality Win Rank	331
W-L Pct Rating	0.74		W-L Pct Rank	380
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	7.3


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