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Conard Chieftains (9-8)

Region: CT Div 1

State: CT

Coach: Ashley Gengras

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/03	FARMINGTON, CT (6-9)	CT Div 2	71.2		W	10-	6		0.100
4/08	at Northwest Catholic (17-2)	CT Div 2	78.2		L	9-	10		-0.250
4/10	at Glastonbury (14-3)	CT Div 1	82.0	6	L	5-	16		-0.050
4/14	at Windsor (3-13)	CT Div 2	67.9		W	18-	5		0.075
4/22	MINNECHAUG (15-3)	MA West D1	78.9		L	8-	11		-0.200
4/24	EAST LYME (15-3)	CT Div 1	79.6		L	12-	14		-0.175
4/26	DANIEL HAND (15-5)	CT Div 1	79.6	10	L	7-	12		-0.200
5/01	NEWINGTON (4-11)	CT Div 2	69.7		W	16-	5		0.050
5/05	at Southington (3-10)	CT Div 1	69.7		W	12-	8		0.125
5/08	SIMSBURY (5-8)	CT Div 1	72.9		W	12-	4		0.150
5/13	at Cheshire HS (11-8)	CT Div 1	76.0		L	12-	13		-0.225
5/15	SOUTH WINDSOR (11-6)	CT Div 1	78.1		W	9-	8		0.275
5/17	BRANFORD (6-11)	CT Div 1	73.1		W	8-	6		0.175
5/20	at South Hadley (9-8)	MA West D1	69.0		W	14-	10		0.100
5/22	HALL, WEST HARTFORD (16-1)	CT Div 1	82.3	5	L	7-	20		-0.075
5/29	at Cheshire HS (11-8)	CT Div 1	76.0		W	11-	8		0.275
5/31	at Hall, West Hartford (16-1)	CT Div 1	82.3	5	L	3-	13		-0.025
			73.0						0.13

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/03	H	Farmington, CT	10-	6	4	6	–	-0.81	-2.48
4/08	A	Northwest Catholic	9-	10	-1	0		0.81	-0.59
4/10	A	Glastonbury	5-	16	-11	-8	–	0.81	-2.85
4/14	A	Windsor	18-	5	13	7	++	0.81	5.50
4/22	H	Minnechaug	8-	11	-3	-2		-0.86		-0.76
4/24	H	East Lyme	12-	14	-2	-3		-0.81	0.66
4/26	H	Daniel Hand	7-	12	-5	-2	–	-0.81	-3.01
5/01	H	Newington	16-	5	11	8	+	-0.81	2.72
5/05	A	Southington	12-	8	4	5		0.81	-1.41
5/08	H	Simsbury	12-	4	8	4	+	-0.81	3.57
5/13	A	Cheshire HS	12-	13	-1	-1		0.81	-0.36
5/15	H	South Windsor	9-	8	1	-1	+	-0.81	2.19
5/17	H	Branford	8-	6	2	3		-0.81	-0.69
5/20	A	South Hadley	14-	10	4	6		0.86		-1.94
5/22	H	Hall, West Hartford	7-	20	-13	-7	––	-0.81	-5.75
5/29	A	Cheshire HS	11-	8	3	-1	+	0.81	3.64
5/31	A	Hall, West Hartford	3-	13	-10	-9		0.81	-1.13
									0.00	-2.71

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/10	A	Glastonbury	5-	16	1.00
4/14	A	Windsor	18-	5	-3.00
5/01	H	Newington	16-	5	-1.00
5/22	H	Hall, West Hartford	7-	20	3.00
5/31	A	Hall, West Hartford	3-	13	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.00

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	76.		Natl CCR Rank	520
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	75.85		Natl Power Rank	520
Natl SOS Rating	64.28		Natl SOS Rank	807
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.13		Natl Quality Win Rank	833
W-L Pct Rating	0.53		W-L Pct Rank	941
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-11.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.7


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