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Concord-Carlisle Patriots (11-7 - 1)

Region: MA No D1

State: MA

Coach: Shelley Hull

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	at Westford Academy (12-9)	MA No D2	72.7		L	7-	12		-0.275
4/01	WESTON, MA (13-7)	MA No D2	75.9		L	5-	8		-0.250
4/03	at Bedford (2-14)	MA No D2	58.8		W	12-	7		0.050
4/07	ARLINGTON HS, MA (12-6)	MA No D2	76.1		T	9-	9		0.000
4/10	at Acton-Boxborough (18-3)	MA No D1	80.3	10	L	8-	13		-0.150
4/15	LINCOLN-SUDBURY (21-2)	MA No D1	84.0	6	L	4-	11		-0.100
4/17	NEWTON SOUTH (6-15)	MA So D1	62.1		W	18-	6		0.075
4/23	at Tyngsborough (3-14)	MA No D2	56.5		W	16-	5		0.025
4/25	WAYLAND (5-12)	MA No D2	66.3		W	12-	11		0.150
4/28	WESTFORD ACADEMY (12-9)	MA No D2	72.7		W	15-	13		0.200
4/30	at Weston, MA (13-7)	MA No D2	75.9		W	15-	14		0.300
5/02	BEDFORD (2-14)	MA No D2	58.8		W	17-	5		0.000
5/05	at Algonquin (11-9)	MA Cen D1	73.8		W	19-	12		0.275
5/08	ACTON-BOXBOROUGH (18-3)	MA No D1	80.3	10	L	11-	13		-0.200
5/13	at Lincoln-Sudbury (21-2)	MA No D1	84.0	6	L	11-	17		-0.050
5/15	at Newton South (6-15)	MA So D1	62.1		W	14-	6		0.100
5/19	TYNGSBOROUGH (3-14)	MA No D2	56.5		W	15-	3		0.000
5/21	at Wayland (5-12)	MA No D2	66.3		W	11-	10		0.200
5/22	at Arlington HS, MA (12-6)	MA No D2	76.1			-
5/27	at Masconomet (14-4)	MA No D1	78.1		L	6-	16		-0.150
			76.6						0.20

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	A	Westford Academy	7-	12	-5	1	––	0.92	-5.65
4/01	H	Weston, MA	5-	8	-3	0	–	-0.92	-3.33
4/03	A	Bedford	12-	7	5	8	–	0.92	-3.02
4/07	H	Arlington HS, MA	9-	9	0	1		-0.92	-1.40
4/10	A	Acton-Boxborough	8-	13	-5	-4		0.92	-0.98
4/15	H	Lincoln-Sudbury	4-	11	-7	-6		-0.92	-0.57
4/17	H	Newton South	18-	6	12	7	++	-0.92	4.56
4/23	A	Tyngsborough	16-	5	11	9	+	0.92	2.26
4/25	H	Wayland	12-	11	1	4	–	-0.92	-2.95
4/28	H	Westford Academy	15-	13	2	2		-0.92	-0.48
4/30	A	Weston, MA	15-	14	1	-2	+	0.92	2.50
5/02	H	Bedford	17-	5	12	10	+	-0.92	2.15
5/05	A	Algonquin	19-	12	7	-1	+++	0.92	7.80
5/08	H	Acton-Boxborough	11-	13	-2	-2		-0.92	0.19
5/13	A	Lincoln-Sudbury	11-	17	-6	-8	+	0.92	2.26
5/15	A	Newton South	14-	6	8	6	+	0.92	2.39
5/19	H	Tyngsborough	15-	3	12	11		-0.92	1.43
5/21	A	Wayland	11-	10	1	2		0.92	-1.12
5/27	A	Masconomet	6-	16	-10	-4	–––	0.92	-6.03
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/17	H	Newton South	18-	6	-2.00
4/23	A	Tyngsborough	16-	5	-1.00
5/02	H	Bedford	17-	5	-2.15
5/19	H	Tyngsborough	15-	3	-1.43
5/27	A	Masconomet	6-	16	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.35

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	74.		Natl CCR Rank	647
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	74.59		Natl Power Rank	647
Natl SOS Rating	70.23		Natl SOS Rank	429
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.20		Natl Quality Win Rank	770
W-L Pct Rating	0.61		W-L Pct Rank	731
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.0


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