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Carrboro Jaquars (4-11)

Region: NC E Cen

State: NC

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/29	at Northwest Guilford (7-7)	NC W Cen	61.5		L	1-	10		-0.275
3/06	PANTHER CREEK (3-12)	NC East	60.5		W	14-	4		0.125
3/08	LANEY (8-7)	NC SE	64.6			-
3/11	at Riverside, NC (0-13)	NC E Cen	57.9		W	14-	6		0.125
3/13	at Chapel Hill (13-8)	NC E Cen	69.2	9	L	6-	17		-0.050
3/15	at Cape Fear Academy (8-8)	NC SE	66.9		L	12-	18		-0.075
3/15	at Hoggard (11-3)	NC SE	69.6	8	L	7-	16		-0.050
3/18	ST. MARY'S, NC (7-9)	NC E Cen	61.8		L	8-	10		-0.225
4/01	at Cardinal Gibbons, NC (7-7)	NC E Cen	66.6		L	9-	18		-0.100
4/03	DURHAM ACADEMY (15-5)	NC E Cen	70.0	7	L	5-	15		-0.050
4/08	RIVERSIDE, NC (0-13)	NC E Cen	57.9		W	18-	7		0.100
4/10	CHAPEL HILL (13-8)	NC E Cen	69.2	9		-
4/15	at Durham Academy (15-5)	NC E Cen	70.0	7	L	4-	13		-0.025
4/17	EAST CHAPEL HILL (14-4)	NC E Cen	74.6	3	L	7-	13		0.000
4/22	CARDINAL GIBBONS, NC (7-7)	NC E Cen	66.6		L	12-	16		-0.125
4/24	SOUTHEAST GUILFORD (1-14)	NC W Cen	55.6		W	14-	4		0.000
4/25	ASHLEY (8-7)	NC SE	65.8		L	10-	18		-0.125
			64.7						-0.75

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/29	A	Northwest Guilford	1-	10	-9	1	–––	0.39	10.15
3/06	H	Panther Creek	14-	4	10	5	++	-0.39	5.37
3/11	A	Riverside, NC	14-	6	8	5	+	0.39	2.77
3/13	A	Chapel Hill	6-	17	-11	-8	–	0.39	-3.00
3/15	A	Cape Fear Academy	12-	18	-6	-7		0.39	1.33
3/15	A	Hoggard	7-	16	-9	-8		0.39	-1.34
3/18	H	St. Mary's, NC	8-	10	-2	-1		-0.39	-0.97
4/01	A	Cardinal Gibbons, NC	9-	18	-9	-6	–	0.39	-3.04
4/03	H	Durham Academy	5-	15	-10	-8		-0.39	-1.55
4/08	H	Riverside, NC	18-	7	11	6	++	-0.39	5.00
4/15	A	Durham Academy	4-	13	-9	-9		0.39	0.22
4/17	H	East Chapel Hill	7-	13	-6	-13	+++	-0.39	7.23
4/22	H	Cardinal Gibbons, NC	12-	16	-4	-5		-0.39	1.18
4/24	H	Southeast Guilford	14-	4	10	10		-0.39	-0.28
4/25	H	Ashley	10-	18	-8	-5	–	-0.39	-2.78
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/06	H	Panther Creek	14-	4	0.00
3/13	A	Chapel Hill	6-	17	1.00
4/03	H	Durham Academy	5-	15	0.00
4/08	H	Riverside, NC	18-	7	-1.00
4/24	H	Southeast Guilford	14-	4	0.28
10-goal correction: 0.02

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	61.		Natl CCR Rank	1703
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	61.33		Natl Power Rank	1703
Natl SOS Rating	52.51		Natl SOS Rank	1761
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.75		Natl Quality Win Rank	2122
W-L Pct Rating	0.27		W-L Pct Rank	1574
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.7


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