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Catoctin Cougars (3-10)

Region: MD 1A

State: MD

Coach: Kathy Stinefelt

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/25	at Frederick (2-10)	MD 3A	64.6		W	17-	11		0.150
3/27	WALKERSVILLE (9-7)	MD 2A	78.8		L	4-	17		0.000
3/31	at Tuscarora (3-11)	MD 1A	66.9		L	9-	11		-0.300
4/07	LANEY (8-7)	NC SE	64.2		L	6-	8		-0.400
4/10	at South Carroll (8-6)	MD 1A	81.1		L	2-	20		0.000
4/12	at North Hagerstown (1-11)	MD 2A	60.0		W	16-	5		0.050
4/15	LIBERTY, MD (15-2)	MD 2A	90.4	4	L	0-	20		0.000
4/17	at Smithsburg (9-5)	MD 1A	75.8		L	9-	16		-0.075
4/18	CENTURY, MD (12-4)	MD 2A	87.7	8	L	2-	27		0.000
4/23	FRANCIS SCOTT KEY (5-9)	MD 2A	74.0		L	11-	17		-0.150
4/24	at Brunswick, MD (4-9)	MD 1A	69.8		W	10-	8		0.300
5/01	SOUTH HAGERSTOWN (0-10)	MD 2A	53.4			-
5/06	MIDDLETOWN, MD (11-4)	MD 2A	78.5		L	5-	16		-0.025
5/08	at Smithsburg (9-5)	MD 1A	75.8		L	6-	11		-0.075
			72.1						-0.53

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/25	A	Frederick	17-	11	6	4	+	0.99	2.24
3/27	H	Walkersville	4-	17	-13	-11		-0.99	-1.52
3/31	A	Tuscarora	9-	11	-2	2	–	0.99	-3.94
4/07	H	Laney	6-	8	-2	6	–––	-0.69		-7.71
4/10	A	South Carroll	2-	20	-18	-16		0.99	-1.73
4/12	A	North Hagerstown	16-	5	11	8	+	0.99	3.12
4/15	H	Liberty, MD	0-	20	-20	-23	+	-0.99	2.75
4/17	A	Smithsburg	9-	16	-7	-7		0.99	0.06
4/18	H	Century, MD	2-	27	-25	-23		-0.99	-1.95
4/23	H	Francis Scott Key	11-	17	-6	-4	–	-0.99	-2.47
4/24	A	Brunswick, MD	10-	8	2	-2	+	0.99	3.59
5/06	H	Middletown, MD	5-	16	-11	-9	–	-0.99	-2.21
5/08	A	Smithsburg	6-	11	-5	-7	+	0.99	2.06
									0.00	-7.71

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/27	H	Walkersville	4-	17	1.52
4/10	A	South Carroll	2-	20	1.73
4/12	A	North Hagerstown	16-	5	-1.00
4/15	H	Liberty, MD	0-	20	-2.75
4/18	H	Century, MD	2-	27	1.95
5/06	H	Middletown, MD	5-	16	1.00
10-goal correction: 0.19

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	69.		Natl CCR Rank	1069
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	69.22		Natl Power Rank	1069
Natl SOS Rating	64.06		Natl SOS Rank	824
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.53		Natl Quality Win Rank	1863
W-L Pct Rating	0.23		W-L Pct Rank	1644
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-6.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-20.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-22.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-22.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.7


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