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Danvers Falcons (3-12)

Region: MA No D2

State: MA

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	BILLERICA MEMORIAL (11-7)	MA No D1	70.8		L	4-	16		-0.050
4/09	at Haverhill (7-9)	MA No D1	61.2		L	6-	15		-0.125
4/15	MARBLEHEAD (16-4)	MA No D2	75.8		L	6-	13		-0.025
4/17	ARLINGTON CATHOLIC, MA (15-2)	MA No D2	68.6		L	11-	12		-0.150
4/18	at Beverly (11-6)	MA No D1	70.6		L	6-	13		-0.050
4/23	PEABODY VETERANS MEM. (7-9)	MA No D1	62.8		L	3-	7		-0.175
4/25	TRITON, MA (12-7)	MA No D2	70.4		L	7-	13		-0.075
4/26	DRACUT (1-13)	MA No D2	49.9		W	12-	7		0.200
5/01	SWAMPSCOTT (3-9)	MA No D2	56.8		L	12-	14		-0.250
5/06	at Gloucester (2-13)	MA No D1	50.7		L	17-	18	ot	-0.275
5/07	SALEM, MA (7-6)	MA No D1	68.8		L	7-	16		-0.075
5/08	at Swampscott (3-9)	MA No D2	56.8		W	12-	11		0.300
5/14	at Triton, MA (12-7)	MA No D2	70.4		L	6-	13		-0.025
5/20	GLOUCESTER (2-13)	MA No D1	50.7		L	10-	11		-0.325
5/22	HAVERHILL (7-9)	MA No D1	61.2		W	10-	9		0.325
			71.5						-0.78

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	H	Billerica Memorial	4-	16	-12	-8	––	-0.92	-4.10
4/09	A	Haverhill	6-	15	-9	-5	–	0.92	-3.81
4/15	H	Marblehead	6-	13	-7	-9		-0.92	1.60
4/17	H	Arlington Catholic, MA	11-	12	-1	-4	+	-0.92	3.08
4/18	A	Beverly	6-	13	-7	-8		0.92	1.28
4/23	H	Peabody Veterans Mem.	3-	7	-4	-3		-0.92	-0.90
4/25	H	Triton, MA	7-	13	-6	-7		-0.92	0.75
4/26	H	Dracut	12-	7	5	2	+	-0.92	2.54
5/01	H	Swampscott	12-	14	-2	0		-0.92	-1.77
5/06	A	Gloucester	17-	18	-1	1		0.92	-1.96
5/07	H	Salem, MA	7-	16	-9	-7		-0.92	-1.95
5/08	A	Swampscott	12-	11	1	-2	+	0.92	3.06
5/14	A	Triton, MA	6-	13	-7	-9		0.92	1.59
5/20	H	Gloucester	10-	11	-1	3	–	-0.92	-3.79
5/22	H	Haverhill	10-	9	1	-3	++	-0.92	4.36
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/02	H	Billerica Memorial	4-	16	2.00
10-goal correction: 0.13

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	52.		Natl CCR Rank	2088
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	52.71		Natl Power Rank	2088
Natl SOS Rating	61.70		Natl SOS Rank	998
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.78		Natl Quality Win Rank	2139
W-L Pct Rating	0.20		W-L Pct Rank	1707
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.3


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