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Deerfield Academy, MA Big Green (11-3)

Region: NE

State: MA

Coach: Becky Tynan

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/05	MILLBROOK SCHOOL (8-7)	NE	74.9		W	15-	4		0.075
4/09	PHILLIPS ANDOVER ACAD (9-6)	NE	79.4		W	13-	7		0.150
4/12	at Choate Rosemary Hall (8-8)	NE	76.1		W	7-	4		0.175
4/16	NORTHFIELD-MT. HERMON (1-12)	NE	66.6		W	19-	6		0.000
4/19	TAFT SCHOOL (6-8)	NE	74.7		W	12-	5		0.100
4/23	vs. Greenwich Academy # (21-3)	NE	86.9	4	L	13-	19		-0.200
4/26	WESTMINSTER SCHOOL, CT (5-7)	NE	76.1		W	13-	10		0.125
4/30	at Loomis Chaffee School (13-1)	NE	88.3	2	W	10-	9		0.375
5/03	HOTCHKISS SCHOOL (11-3)	NE	85.0	6	L	11-	17		-0.200
5/07	KIMBALL UNION ACADEMY (7-5)	NE	70.4		W	17-	6		0.000
5/10	at Longmeadow (20-3)	MA West D1	85.7		L	5-	13		-0.150
5/12	at Cushing Academy (10-5)	NE	73.0		W	18-	12		0.050
5/14	BERKSHIRE SCHOOL (8-6)	NE	77.4		W	11-	8		0.125
5/17	at Phillips Exeter Acad (9-6)	NE	77.1		W	17-	9		0.175
# Neutral site			81.0						0.80

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/05	H	Millbrook School	15-	4	11	7	+	-1.05	3.93
4/09	H	Phillips Andover Acad	13-	7	6	4	+	-1.05	2.22
4/12	A	Choate Rosemary Hall	7-	4	3	3		1.05	-0.24
4/16	H	Northfield-Mt. Hermon	19-	6	13	16	–	-1.05	-3.02
4/19	H	Taft School	12-	5	7	6		-1.05	0.80
4/23	N	Greenwich Academy	13-	19	-6	-2	–	0.00	-3.55
4/26	H	Westminster School, CT	13-	10	3	5	–	-1.05	-2.39
4/30	A	Loomis Chaffee School	10-	9	1	-5	++	1.05	5.51
5/03	H	Hotchkiss School	11-	17	-6	-2	–	-1.05	-3.89
5/07	H	Kimball Union Academy	17-	6	11	11		-1.05	-0.44
5/10	A	Longmeadow	5-	13	-8	-4	––	0.98		-4.35
5/12	A	Cushing Academy	18-	12	6	8	–	1.05	-2.49
5/14	H	Berkshire School	11-	8	3	5		-1.05	-1.94
5/17	A	Phillips Exeter Acad	17-	9	8	3	++	1.05	5.50
									0.00	-4.35

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/05	H	Millbrook School	15-	4	-1.00
4/16	H	Northfield-Mt. Hermon	19-	6	3.02
5/07	H	Kimball Union Academy	17-	6	0.44
10-goal correction: 0.18

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	83.		Natl CCR Rank	170
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	83.08		Natl Power Rank	170
Natl SOS Rating	77.81		Natl SOS Rank	139
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.80		Natl Quality Win Rank	264
W-L Pct Rating	0.79		W-L Pct Rank	254
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.7


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