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Deep Run Wildcats (9-8)

Region: VA Indep

State: VA

Coach: Matt Cross

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/12	ST. GERTRUDE'S (0-12)	VA LIS	62.7		W	13-	3		0.050
3/18	at Patrick Henry-Richmond (0-7)	VA Indep	62.9		W	18-	10		0.175
4/05	at Rockbridge County (10-6)	VA NW AA	75.2		L	3-	13		-0.025
4/10	at Hanover, VA (0-2)	VA Indep	56.5		W	18-	3		0.000
4/11	vs. Osbourn Park # (8-8)	VA NW AAA	68.1		W	8-	5		0.200
4/11	at South County (13-4)	VA Pat	74.3		L	0-	11		-0.050
4/12	vs. Thomas Jefferson S&T # (10-5)	VA Lbrty	73.6		L	1-	5		-0.150
4/12	vs. George C. Marshall # (4-11)	VA Lbrty	67.2		W	9-	3		0.225
4/12	vs. Woodbridge # (3-9)	VA NW AAA	64.9		W	6-	3		0.150
4/14	at James River HS (6-1)	VA Indep	72.0		L	11-	12		-0.150
4/23	DOUGLAS FREEMAN REBELS (7-4)	VA Indep	74.2		L	9-	14		-0.150
4/24	at Swift Creek (3-6)	VA Indep	67.3		W	14-	11		0.250
4/29	PATRICK HENRY-RICHMOND (0-7)	VA Indep	62.9		W	12-	9		0.050
4/30	SWIFT CREEK (3-6)	VA Indep	67.3		W	15-	12		0.150
5/01	CHARLOTTESVILLE (2-7)	VA NW AA	70.0		L	9-	11		-0.225
5/03	at Covenant School (12-5)	VA LIS	76.4		L	6-	17		0.000
5/07	JAMES RIVER HS (6-1)	VA Indep	72.0		L	6-	12		-0.275
# Neutral site			70.9						0.22

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/12	H	St. Gertrude's	13-	3	10	8		-2.28	1.63
3/18	A	Patrick Henry-Richmond	18-	10	8	3	++	2.28	4.72
4/05	A	Rockbridge County	3-	13	-10	-9		2.28	-1.26
4/10	A	Hanover, VA	18-	3	15	13	+	2.28	2.00
4/11	N	Osbourn Park	8-	5	3	2		0.00	1.20
4/11	A	South County	0-	11	-11	-8	–	2.28	-3.22
4/12	N	Thomas Jefferson S&T	1-	5	-4	-4		0.00	0.49
4/12	N	George C. Marshall	9-	3	6	1	++	0.00	5.01
4/12	N	Woodbridge	6-	3	3	4		0.00	-0.86
4/14	A	James River HS	11-	12	-1	-4	+	2.28	2.88
4/23	H	Douglas Freeman Rebels	9-	14	-5	-4		-2.28	-1.15
4/24	A	Swift Creek	14-	11	3	0	+	2.28	3.28
4/29	H	Patrick Henry-Richmond	12-	9	3	8	––	-2.28	-4.84
4/30	H	Swift Creek	15-	12	3	4		-2.28	-1.28
5/01	H	Charlottesville	9-	11	-2	-1		-2.28	-1.29
5/03	A	Covenant School	6-	17	-11	-10		2.28	-0.64
5/07	H	James River HS	6-	12	-6	1	–––	-2.28	-6.68
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/12	H	St. Gertrude's	13-	3	0.00
4/05	A	Rockbridge County	3-	13	0.00
4/10	A	Hanover, VA	18-	3	-2.00
4/11	A	South County	0-	11	1.00
5/03	A	Covenant School	6-	17	1.00
10-goal correction: -0.00

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	69.		Natl CCR Rank	1061
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	69.09		Natl Power Rank	1061
Natl SOS Rating	61.15		Natl SOS Rank	1043
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.22		Natl Quality Win Rank	741
W-L Pct Rating	0.53		W-L Pct Rank	958
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.3


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