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Dobson Mustangs (8-6)

Region: AZ AGLA 2

State: AZ

Coach: Andrew Kay

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/21	PHOENIX COUNTRY DAY (3-9)	AZ AGLA 2	54.9		W	8-	6	ot	0.200
2/28	at Desert Vista (7-6)	AZ AGLA 2	59.1	9	W	7-	3		0.250
3/06	at Corona Del Sol (11-3)	AZ AGLA 2	66.4	4	L	9-	15		-0.125
3/08	NOTRE DAME PREP, AZ (0-12)	AZ AGLA 2	47.3		W	14-	3		0.025
3/11	at Notre Dame Prep, AZ (0-12)	AZ AGLA 2	47.3		W	13-	6		0.050
3/25	at Mountain Pointe (4-9)	AZ AGLA 2	55.1	10	W	12-	6		0.225
3/27	DESERT VISTA (7-6)	AZ AGLA 2	59.1	9	L	9-	14		-0.275
4/01	MOUNTAIN POINTE (4-9)	AZ AGLA 2	55.1	10	L	4-	5		-0.300
4/04	at Gilbert (5-7)	AZ AGLA 1	65.6	6	L	2-	15		-0.050
4/09	CHAPARRAL, AZ (9-6)	AZ AGLA 1	72.3	3	L	2-	13		0.000
4/15	at Phoenix Country Day (3-9)	AZ AGLA 2	54.9		W	7-	6		0.225
4/19	CORONA DEL SOL (11-3)	AZ AGLA 2	66.4	4	W	6-	5		0.350
4/22	vs. Desert Vista # (7-6)	AZ AGLA 2	59.1	9	W	11-	9		0.250
4/25	vs. Corona Del Sol # (11-3)	AZ AGLA 2	66.4	4	L	4-	12		-0.125
# Neutral site			63.3						0.70

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/21	H	Phoenix Country Day	8-	6	2	2		-0.48	-0.22
2/28	A	Desert Vista	7-	3	4	0	++	0.48	4.36
3/06	A	Corona Del Sol	9-	15	-6	-5		0.48	-0.84
3/08	H	Notre Dame Prep, AZ	14-	3	11	9		-0.48	1.89
3/11	A	Notre Dame Prep, AZ	13-	6	7	8		0.48	-1.15
3/25	A	Mountain Pointe	12-	6	6	1	++	0.48	4.76
3/27	H	Desert Vista	9-	14	-5	1	––	-0.48	-5.60
4/01	H	Mountain Pointe	4-	5	-1	2	–	-0.48	-3.21
4/04	A	Gilbert	2-	15	-13	-8	––	0.48	-5.36
4/09	H	Chaparral, AZ	2-	13	-11	-13		-0.48	1.87
4/15	A	Phoenix Country Day	7-	6	1	1		0.48	-0.26
4/19	H	Corona Del Sol	6-	5	1	-4	++	-0.48	5.20
4/22	N	Desert Vista	11-	9	2	0		0.00	1.88
4/25	N	Corona Del Sol	4-	12	-8	-5	–	0.00	-3.32
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/08	H	Notre Dame Prep, AZ	14-	3	-1.00
4/04	A	Gilbert	2-	15	3.00
4/09	H	Chaparral, AZ	2-	13	-1.87
10-goal correction: 0.01

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	59.		Natl CCR Rank	1799
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	59.81		Natl Power Rank	1799
Natl SOS Rating	50.43		Natl SOS Rank	1920
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.70		Natl Quality Win Rank	305
W-L Pct Rating	0.57		W-L Pct Rank	812
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.1
Wins/Losses (top 20)	8-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.7


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