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Dominion Titans (7-8)

Region: VA NW AA

State: VA

Coach: Don Gasser

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/15	WESTERN ALBEMARLE (15-3)	VA NW AA	83.0	5	L	3-	17		0.000
3/27	BROAD RUN (15-5)	VA NW AA	79.9	9	L	6-	14		-0.100
3/31	at Lake Braddock (7-6)	VA Pat	72.5		L	5-	10		-0.125
4/03	LOUDOUN COUNTY (8-4)	VA NW AA	72.8		L	10-	11		-0.250
4/07	at George Mason (7-7)	VA NW AA	68.6		W	11-	9		0.250
4/14	at Briar Woods (5-7)	VA NW AA	68.2		W	10-	8		0.275
4/16	WASHINGTON-LEE (4-11)	VA Natl	65.1		W	11-	10	2ot	0.050
4/17	at Freedom-South Riding (0-11)	VA NW AA	63.4		W	9-	5		0.150
4/23	at Yorktown, VA (11-5)	VA Natl	72.2		L	9-	12		-0.175
4/24	HERITAGE (7-7)	VA NW AA	69.6		W	13-	7		0.175
4/25	at West Springfield, VA (10-6)	VA Pat	75.1		L	9-	16		-0.050
5/03	PARK VIEW (0-8)	VA NW AA	59.7		W	18-	5		0.000
5/05	POTOMAC FALLS (10-4)	VA NW AA	73.6		L	12-	14	ot	-0.250
5/08	GEORGE MASON (7-7)	VA NW AA	68.6		W	17-	7		0.150
5/15	vs. Broad Run # (15-5)	VA NW AA	79.9	9	L	6-	14		-0.025
# Neutral site			73.8						0.08

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/15	H	Western Albemarle	3-	17	-14	-11	–	-2.28	-3.16
3/27	H	Broad Run	6-	14	-8	-6		-2.28	-1.71
3/31	A	Lake Braddock	5-	10	-5	-5		2.28	0.36
4/03	H	Loudoun County	10-	11	-1	0		-2.28	-1.17
4/07	A	George Mason	11-	9	2	0	+	2.28	2.42
4/14	A	Briar Woods	10-	8	2	-1	+	2.28	3.19
4/16	H	Washington-Lee	11-	10	1	8	–––	-2.28	-6.64
4/17	A	Freedom-South Riding	9-	5	4	4		2.28	-0.01
4/23	A	Yorktown, VA	9-	12	-3	-3		2.28	0.07
4/24	H	Heritage	13-	7	6	3	+	-2.28	2.65
4/25	A	West Springfield, VA	9-	16	-7	-8		2.28	0.67
5/03	H	Park View	18-	5	13	14		-2.28	-0.81
5/05	H	Potomac Falls	12-	14	-2	0	–	-2.28	-2.29
5/08	H	George Mason	17-	7	10	4	++	-2.28	5.85
5/15	N	Broad Run	6-	14	-8	-9		0.00	0.57
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/15	H	Western Albemarle	3-	17	3.16
5/03	H	Park View	18-	5	0.81
5/08	H	George Mason	17-	7	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.26

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	70.		Natl CCR Rank	961
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	70.22		Natl Power Rank	961
Natl SOS Rating	65.65		Natl SOS Rank	694
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.08		Natl Quality Win Rank	924
W-L Pct Rating	0.47		W-L Pct Rank	1107
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-9.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.0


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