| Region: NC E Cen | State: NC | Coach: Taylor Poitras |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/01 | H | Riverside, NC | 13- | 3 | 10 | 15 | | -0.39 | -4.84 | |
3/05 | A | Middle Creek | 16- | 9 | 7 | 5 | | 0.39 | 1.63 | |
3/06 | H | Northwest Guilford | 11- | 1 | 10 | 11 | | -0.39 | -0.76 | |
3/18 | H | Cardinal Gibbons, NC | 17- | 15 | 2 | 4 | | -0.39 | -1.65 | |
3/20 | H | St. Mary's, NC | 13- | 6 | 7 | 8 | | -0.39 | -0.80 | |
3/25 | H | Athens Drive | 18- | 7 | 11 | 9 | | -0.39 | 1.53 | |
3/27 | A | Broughton | 13- | 11 | 2 | 0 | + | 0.39 | 2.28 | |
3/29 | H | Charlotte Catholic | 9- | 20 | -11 | -5 | | -0.39 | -6.12 | |
3/29 | H | Myers Park | 6- | 8 | -2 | 0 | | -0.39 | -1.76 | |
4/03 | A | Carrboro | 15- | 5 | 10 | 8 | | 0.39 | 1.55 | |
4/04 | H | Cape Fear Academy | 17- | 9 | 8 | 2 | ++ | -0.39 | 5.72 | |
4/09 | H | East Chapel Hill | 7- | 18 | -11 | -4 | | -0.39 | -6.60 | |
4/15 | H | Carrboro | 13- | 4 | 9 | 9 | | -0.39 | -0.22 | |
4/16 | A | Western Guilford | 10- | 9 | 1 | -1 | + | 0.39 | 2.42 | |
4/19 | A | Charlotte Latin School | 18- | 4 | 14 | 7 | +++ | 0.39 | 6.55 | |
4/23 | A | Cardinal Gibbons, NC | 17- | 14 | 3 | 3 | | 0.39 | 0.12 | |
4/26 | H | Greensboro Day School | 14- | 4 | 10 | 7 | + | -0.39 | 2.98 | |
4/29 | A | St. Mary's, NC | 18- | 7 | 11 | 7 | + | 0.39 | 3.97 | |
4/30 | H | Chapel Hill | 16- | 18 | -2 | 2 | | -0.39 | -3.61 | |
5/05 | H | Marvin Ridge | 9- | 10 | -1 | 1 | | -0.39 | -2.38 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/01 | H | Riverside, NC | 13- | 3 | 4.84 |
3/06 | H | Northwest Guilford | 11- | 1 | 0.76 |
3/25 | H | Athens Drive | 18- | 7 | -1.00 |
3/29 | H | Charlotte Catholic | 9- | 20 | 1.00 |
4/03 | A | Carrboro | 15- | 5 | 0.00 |
4/09 | H | East Chapel Hill | 7- | 18 | 1.00 |
4/19 | A | Charlotte Latin School | 18- | 4 | -4.00 |
4/26 | H | Greensboro Day School | 14- | 4 | 0.00 |
4/29 | A | St. Mary's, NC | 18- | 7 | -1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.08 |
| National Rating |
| Natl CCR Rating | 70. | | Natl CCR Rank | 990 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 70.03 | | Natl Power Rank | 990 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 54.09 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1621 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.45 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 494 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.75 | | W-L Pct Rank | 362 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 15-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 4.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -8.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -4.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 6-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -0.1 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 2.7 |
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