| Region: NC E Cen | State: NC | Coach: Lindsey Stover |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/03 | H | Cardinal Gibbons, NC | 10- | 2 | 8 | 8 | | -0.39 | -0.44 | |
3/10 | H | Green Hope | 10- | 3 | 7 | 4 | + | -0.39 | 3.04 | |
3/14 | H | Apex | 5- | 17 | -12 | -4 | ––– | -0.39 | -8.08 | |
3/18 | A | Riverside, NC | 15- | 1 | 14 | 19 | –– | 0.39 | -4.85 | |
3/19 | H | Chapel Hill | 15- | 6 | 9 | 6 | + | -0.39 | 2.61 | |
3/27 | H | Bishop Ireton | 4- | 20 | -16 | -10 | –– | -1.22 | | -5.62 |
4/01 | A | St. Mary's, NC | 14- | 5 | 9 | 12 | – | 0.39 | -2.82 | |
4/07 | A | Cardinal Gibbons, NC | 16- | 6 | 10 | 8 | + | 0.39 | 2.34 | |
4/09 | A | Durham Academy | 18- | 7 | 11 | 4 | +++ | 0.39 | 6.60 | |
4/10 | A | Green Hope | 10- | 4 | 6 | 3 | + | 0.39 | 2.81 | |
4/15 | A | Apex | 12- | 16 | -4 | -5 | | 0.39 | 0.70 | |
4/17 | A | Carrboro | 13- | 7 | 6 | 13 | ––– | 0.39 | -7.23 | |
4/21 | A | Chapel Hill | 18- | 6 | 12 | 6 | +++ | 0.39 | 6.38 | |
4/24 | H | Middle Creek | 14- | 1 | 13 | 11 | + | -0.39 | 2.07 | |
4/30 | A | Wakefield, NC | 15- | 4 | 11 | 7 | ++ | 0.39 | 4.15 | |
5/02 | H | Charlotte CDS | 13- | 5 | 8 | 8 | | -0.39 | 0.12 | |
5/08 | H | Broughton | 17- | 14 | 3 | 5 | – | -0.39 | -2.27 | |
5/15 | A | Charlotte Catholic | 7- | 13 | -6 | -1 | –– | 0.39 | -5.13 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -5.62 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/14 | H | Apex | 5- | 17 | 2.00 |
3/18 | A | Riverside, NC | 15- | 1 | 4.85 |
3/27 | H | Bishop Ireton | 4- | 20 | 6.00 |
4/07 | A | Cardinal Gibbons, NC | 16- | 6 | 0.00 |
4/09 | A | Durham Academy | 18- | 7 | -1.00 |
4/21 | A | Chapel Hill | 18- | 6 | -2.00 |
4/24 | H | Middle Creek | 14- | 1 | -2.07 |
4/30 | A | Wakefield, NC | 15- | 4 | -1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.38 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 74. | | Natl CCR Rank | 635 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 74.60 | | Natl Power Rank | 635 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 60.18 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1116 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.53 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 418 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.78 | | W-L Pct Rank | 276 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 14-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 4.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 2-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -1.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 6-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 2.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 10-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 4.8 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.7 |
|
