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East Lyme Vikings (15-3)

Region: CT Div 1

State: CT

Coach: Begin/Balanti

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	HALL, WEST HARTFORD (16-1)	CT Div 1	82.3	5	L	6-	8		-0.150
4/08	WOODSTOCK ACADEMY (1-11)	CT Div 2	60.0		W	15-	1		0.000
4/10	at Waterford, CT (5-10)	CT Div 2	64.6		W	18-	0		0.000
4/22	at Fitch (5-11)	CT Div 2	66.5		W	16-	3		0.000
4/24	at Conard (9-8)	CT Div 1	75.9		W	14-	12		0.175
4/25	ST. BERNARD, CT (11-6)	CT Div 2	72.2		W	18-	7		0.000
4/29	at Guilford, CT (13-8)	CT Div 1	76.8		W	12-	10		0.175
5/02	at Stonington (9-8)	CT Div 2	71.2		W	14-	1		0.000
5/06	LEDYARD (4-12)	CT Div 2	63.1		W	16-	2		0.000
5/07	at Woodstock Academy (1-11)	CT Div 2	60.0		W	19-	6		0.000
5/09	at Norwich Free Acad (7-8)	CT Div 1	69.9		W	12-	1		0.000
5/12	at Newtown (19-3)	CT Div 1	81.2	8	L	11-	12		-0.175
5/13	WHEELER, CT (9-8)	CT Div 2	68.8		W	16-	4		0.000
5/15	at Branford (6-11)	CT Div 1	73.1		W	11-	7		0.125
5/19	at Ledyard (4-12)	CT Div 2	63.1		W	17-	2		0.000
5/20	OLD LYME (15-4)	CT Div 2	74.6		W	19-	5		0.050
5/21	WHEELER, CT (9-8)	CT Div 2	68.8			-
5/31	BRIEN MCMAHON (11-6)	CT Div 1	79.8	9	W	10-	9		0.275
6/02	at Newtown (19-3)	CT Div 1	81.2	8	L	9-	13		-0.175
			67.3						0.30

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	H	Hall, West Hartford	6-	8	-2	-4		-0.81	1.78
4/08	H	Woodstock Academy	15-	1	14	19	––	-0.81	-4.95
4/10	A	Waterford, CT	18-	0	18	15	+	0.81	3.02
4/22	A	Fitch	16-	3	13	13		0.81	0.24
4/24	A	Conard	14-	12	2	3		0.81	-0.66
4/25	H	St. Bernard, CT	18-	7	11	10		-0.81	0.63
4/29	A	Guilford, CT	12-	10	2	3		0.81	-0.56
5/02	A	Stonington	14-	1	13	10	+	0.81	2.53
5/06	H	Ledyard	16-	2	14	18	–	-0.81	-3.53
5/07	A	Woodstock Academy	19-	6	13	17	––	0.81	-4.33
5/09	A	Norwich Free Acad	12-	1	11	11		0.81	-0.04
5/12	A	Newtown	11-	12	-1	-3		0.81	1.81
5/13	H	Wheeler, CT	16-	4	12	13		-0.81	-1.10
5/15	A	Branford	11-	7	4	5		0.81	-0.55
5/19	A	Ledyard	17-	2	15	16		0.81	-0.92
5/20	H	Old Lyme	19-	5	14	8	++	-0.81	5.51
5/31	H	Brien McMahon	10-	9	1	-1	+	-0.81	2.30
6/02	A	Newtown	9-	13	-4	-3		0.81	-1.19
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/08	H	Woodstock Academy	15-	1	4.95
4/10	A	Waterford, CT	18-	0	-3.02
4/22	A	Fitch	16-	3	-0.24
4/25	H	St. Bernard, CT	18-	7	-0.63
5/02	A	Stonington	14-	1	-2.53
5/06	H	Ledyard	16-	2	3.53
5/07	A	Woodstock Academy	19-	6	4.33
5/09	A	Norwich Free Acad	12-	1	0.04
5/13	H	Wheeler, CT	16-	4	1.10
5/19	A	Ledyard	17-	2	0.92
5/20	H	Old Lyme	19-	5	-4.00
10-goal correction: 0.25

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	80.		Natl CCR Rank	282
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	79.57		Natl Power Rank	282
Natl SOS Rating	56.08		Natl SOS Rank	1429
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.30		Natl Quality Win Rank	632
W-L Pct Rating	0.83		W-L Pct Rank	165
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	15-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	8.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-1.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.7


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