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Oregon Episcopal School Aardvarks (11-6)

Region: OR PIL

State: OR

Coach: Lise Martin

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/10	SOUTHRIDGE (6-10)	OR Metro	62.3		W	5-	3		0.100
3/11	at Beaverton (2-14)	OR Metro	55.5		W	13-	1		0.000
4/01	at Sherwood, OR (7-9)	OR NW	61.1		W	19-	9		0.100
4/04	WILSON, OR (9-7)	OR PIL	68.6	10	W	13-	9		0.300
4/07	at Lakeridge (12-6)	OR TRL	71.0	5	L	8-	19		-0.125
4/08	CLEVELAND (1-15)	OR PIL	55.1		W	15-	3		0.000
4/11	at Grant (5-11)	OR PIL	62.3		W	15-	11		0.175
4/14	LINCOLN, OR (13-5)	OR PIL	70.1	7	L	16-	22		-0.225
4/16	at St. Mary's Acad, OR (19-0)	OR PIL	78.4	1	L	9-	19		-0.050
4/21	GRANT (5-11)	OR PIL	62.3		W	17-	8		0.150
4/25	ST. MARY'S ACAD, OR (19-0)	OR PIL	78.4	1	L	10-	15		-0.075
4/26	at Roseburg (6-9)	OR South	57.7		W	18-	8		0.025
4/26	at Thurston (1-15)	OR South	45.9		W	14-	0		0.000
4/30	at Lincoln, OR (13-5)	OR PIL	70.1	7	L	7-	16		-0.200
5/02	at Cleveland (1-15)	OR PIL	55.1		W	12-	6		0.025
5/05	at Wilson, OR (9-7)	OR PIL	68.6	10	W	11-	8		0.325
5/13	at Lincoln, OR (13-5)	OR PIL	70.1	7	L	10-	11		-0.200
			66.2						0.33

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/10	H	Southridge	5-	3	2	6	–	-0.42	-3.63
3/11	A	Beaverton	13-	1	12	10		0.42	1.76
4/01	A	Sherwood, OR	19-	9	10	6	++	0.42	4.16
4/04	H	Wilson, OR	13-	9	4	-2	++	-0.42	5.72
4/07	A	Lakeridge	8-	19	-11	-5	––	0.42	-5.56
4/08	H	Cleveland	15-	3	12	10		-0.42	1.81
4/11	A	Grant	15-	11	4	3		0.42	0.74
4/14	H	Lincoln, OR	16-	22	-6	-1	––	-0.42	-4.53
4/16	A	St. Mary's Acad, OR	9-	19	-10	-8		0.42	-1.70
4/21	H	Grant	17-	8	9	4	++	-0.42	4.91
4/25	H	St. Mary's Acad, OR	10-	15	-5	-7	+	-0.42	2.46
4/26	A	Roseburg	18-	8	10	9		0.42	1.39
4/26	A	Thurston	14-	0	14	18	––	0.42	-4.34
4/30	A	Lincoln, OR	7-	16	-9	-2	–––	0.42	-6.69
5/02	A	Cleveland	12-	6	6	9	–	0.42	-3.35
5/05	A	Wilson, OR	11-	8	3	-3	++	0.42	5.55
5/13	A	Lincoln, OR	10-	11	-1	-2		0.42	1.31
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/11	A	Beaverton	13-	1	-1.76
4/01	A	Sherwood, OR	19-	9	0.00
4/07	A	Lakeridge	8-	19	1.00
4/08	H	Cleveland	15-	3	-1.81
4/16	A	St. Mary's Acad, OR	9-	19	0.00
4/26	A	Roseburg	18-	8	0.00
4/26	A	Thurston	14-	0	4.34
10-goal correction: 0.10

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	68.		Natl CCR Rank	1139
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	68.19		Natl Power Rank	1139
Natl SOS Rating	54.60		Natl SOS Rank	1562
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.33		Natl Quality Win Rank	602
W-L Pct Rating	0.65		W-L Pct Rank	619
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.7


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