High School Computer Ratings

Essex Junction Hornets (4-13)

Region: VT DI

State: VT

Coach: Emily Danis

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score			COR
4/15	at Burlington, VT (8-7)	VT DII	72.6	9	L	12-	18	-0.100
4/17	SOUTH BURLINGTON (12-6)	VT DI	73.9	6	L	5-	13	-0.100
4/19	at Rutland (16-2)	VT DI	78.5	1	L	4-	13	0.000
4/26	at Mt. Mansfield Union (17-2)	VT DI	78.2	2	L	10-	20	0.000
4/29	MIDDLEBURY UNION (14-4)	VT DI	77.5	3	L	6-	10	-0.075
5/01	at Rice Memorial (3-11)	VT DII	59.1		W	20-	9	0.100
5/05	CHAMPLAIN VALLEY UNION (5-11)	VT DI	71.0		L	13-	15	-0.200
5/08	BRATTLEBORO UNION (8-9)	VT DI	72.3	10	L	6-	14	-0.200
5/10	BURLINGTON, VT (8-7)	VT DII	72.6	9	L	9-	13	-0.200
5/12	HARWOOD UNION CLUB (0-0)	VT Indep	25.6			-
5/14	at South Burlington (12-6)	VT DI	73.9	6	L	4-	16	0.000
5/16	MT. MANSFIELD UNION (17-2)	VT DI	78.2	2	L	7-	20	-0.050
5/16	at Harwood Union Club (0-0)	VT Indep	25.6			-
5/19	at Spaulding, VT (0-12)	VT DI	60.6		W	12-	8	0.200
5/21	at Middlebury Union (14-4)	VT DI	77.5	3	L	5-	13	0.000
5/24	BFA-ST. ALBANS (7-7)	VT DII	65.9		W	12-	8	0.175
5/28	at Champlain Valley Union (5-11)	VT DI	71.0		L	8-	18	-0.100
5/30	SPAULDING, VT (0-12)	VT DI	60.6		W	13-	5	0.100
6/04	at Burlington, VT (8-7)	VT DII	72.6	9	L	7-	14	-0.100
			71.2					-0.55

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/15	A	Burlington, VT	12-	18	-6	-6		1.98	-0.07
4/17	H	South Burlington	5-	13	-8	-6	–	-1.98	-2.35
4/19	A	Rutland	4-	13	-9	-13	+	1.98	3.96
4/26	A	Mt. Mansfield Union	10-	20	-10	-12	+	1.98	2.22
4/29	H	Middlebury Union	6-	10	-4	-7	+	-1.98	3.23
5/01	A	Rice Memorial	20-	9	11	6	++	1.98	5.20
5/05	H	Champlain Valley Union	13-	15	-2	-2		-1.98	-0.21
5/08	H	Brattleboro Union	6-	14	-8	-2	––	-1.98	-5.58
5/10	H	Burlington, VT	9-	13	-4	-2	–	-1.98	-2.04
5/14	A	South Burlington	4-	16	-12	-10	–	1.98	-2.38
5/16	H	Mt. Mansfield Union	7-	20	-13	-8	––	-1.98	-4.75
5/19	A	Spaulding, VT	12-	8	4	2		1.98	1.94
5/21	A	Middlebury Union	5-	13	-8	-11	+	1.98	3.20
5/24	H	BFA-St. Albans	12-	8	4	3		-1.98	0.96
5/28	A	Champlain Valley Union	8-	18	-10	-6	––	1.98	-4.24
5/30	H	Spaulding, VT	13-	5	8	6		-1.98	1.97
6/04	A	Burlington, VT	7-	14	-7	-6		1.98	-1.07
									0.00	0.00