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Fairport Red Raiders (14-5)

Conference: MCRegion: NY A Sec 5State: NYCoach: Geoff McMurtry

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/01vs. Our Lady of Mercy, NY # (11-7)NY C Sec 577.7W14- 7 0.125  
4/03at East Rochester (15-3)NY C Sec 589.03L1-12 -0.075  
4/07OLYMPIA-ARCADIA (3-14)NY A Sec 564.5W15- 1 0.000  
4/10vs. Webster Schroeder # (8-10)NY A Sec 575.4W12- 6 0.075  
4/18at Amherst (16-5)NY C Sec 681.6W12-10 0.200  
4/23BRIGHTON, NY (19-2)NY B Sec 592.91L7-17 -0.050  
4/25at Athena-Odyssey (0-16)NY A Sec 554.9W13- 1 0.000  
4/26PENFIELD (10-8)NY A Sec 583.08W14-11 0.275  
4/28HONEOYE FALLS-LIMA (14-7)NY C Sec 584.84W10- 9ot0.275  
5/01at Canandaigua Academy (18-2)NY B Sec 590.42L11-20 -0.075  
5/03GATES-CHILI (4-14)NY A Sec 570.0W18- 6 0.000  
5/05at Webster Thomas (9-9)NY B Sec 579.710L9-10 -0.325  
5/07at Rush-Henrietta (13-7)NY A Sec 584.17W9- 4 0.325  
5/13SPENCERPORT (8-9)NY A Sec 575.8W12- 2 0.050  
5/15at Pittsford (11-6)NY A Sec 580.49W9- 7 0.225  
5/20at Penn Yan Academy (12-6)NY C Sec 579.1W8- 6 0.200  
5/29vs. Gates-Chili # (4-14)NY A Sec 570.0W18-10 0.000  
5/31vs. Brockport # (9-9)NY A Sec 577.1W12- 5 0.125  
6/04vs. Rush-Henrietta # (13-7)NY A Sec 584.17L6- 8 -0.200  
# Neutral site 81.1     1.15  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/01NOur Lady of Mercy, NY14-77   5       +0.00       2.49
4/03AEast Rochester1-12-11   -7       ––0.78       -4.20
4/07HOlympia-Arcadia15-114   15       -0.78       -0.54
4/10NWebster Schroeder12-66   7       0.00       -0.59
4/18AAmherst12-102   2       1.25       0.10
4/23HBrighton, NY7-17-10   -8       –-0.78       -2.06
4/25AAthena-Odyssey13-112   21       –––0.78       -8.71
4/26HPenfield14-113   -1       ++-0.78       4.08
4/28HHoneoye Falls-Lima10-91   -1       -0.78       1.94
5/01ACanandaigua Academy11-20-9   -7       0.78       -1.55
5/03HGates-Chili18-612   10       -0.78       1.56
5/05AWebster Thomas9-10-1   3       –0.78       -3.62
5/07ARush-Henrietta9-45   -3       +++0.78       7.94
5/13HSpencerport12-210   8       +-0.78       2.09
5/15APittsford9-72   1       0.78       0.67
5/20APenn Yan Academy8-62   2       0.78       -0.46
5/29NGates-Chili18-108   10       0.00       -1.66
5/31NBrockport12-57   5       +0.00       2.46
6/04NRush-Henrietta6-8-2   -2       0.00       0.16
         0.000.10

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/03AEast Rochester1-121.00
4/07HOlympia-Arcadia15-10.54
4/23HBrighton, NY7-170.00
4/25AAthena-Odyssey13-18.71
5/03HGates-Chili18-6-1.56
5/13HSpencerport12-20.00
10-goal correction: 0.46

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 85.   Natl CCR Rank 115
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 84.75   Natl Power Rank 115
Natl SOS Rating 78.02   Natl SOS Rank 132
Natl Quality Win Rating 1.15   Natl Quality Win Rank 113
W-L Pct Rating 0.74   W-L Pct Rank 385
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 14-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 3.1
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -7.2
Wins/Losses (top 10) 4-5   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -2.4
Wins/Losses (top 20) 9-5   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 0.7
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 4.3



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