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Falls Church Jaguars (10-5)

Region: VA Natl

State: VA

Coach: Sabrina Yarie

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/13	GEORGE C. MARSHALL (4-11)	VA Lbrty	67.2		W	16-	9		0.150
3/26	STONE BRIDGE (14-2)	VA Lbrty	81.9	7	L	2-	18		-0.025
3/31	at Wakefield HS, VA (0-9)	VA Natl	55.0		W	22-	0		0.000
4/03	J.E.B. STUART (0-9)	VA Natl	57.3		W	21-	1		0.000
4/11	at Mt. Vernon (1-7)	VA Natl	61.8		W	10-	8		0.100
4/15	at Centreville (2-8)	VA Cncrd	66.9		W	9-	7		0.250
4/18	THOMAS ALVA EDISON (4-9)	VA Natl	63.3		W	12-	7		0.000
4/23	at Westfield, VA (12-6)	VA Cncrd	79.3		L	7-	19		0.000
4/26	at Robert E. Lee (2-10)	VA Pat	64.0		W	13-	5		0.125
4/30	at Washington-Lee (4-11)	VA Natl	65.1		W	13-	10		0.200
5/01	YORKTOWN, VA (11-5)	VA Natl	72.2		L	9-	12		-0.275
5/05	WAKEFIELD HS, VA (0-9)	VA Natl	55.0		W	21-	0		0.000
5/06	vs. Washington-Lee # (4-11)	VA Natl	65.1		W	9-	4		0.125
5/09	at Yorktown, VA (11-5)	VA Natl	72.2		L	6-	9		-0.150
5/13	WESTFIELD, VA (12-6)	VA Cncrd	79.3		L	4-	15		-0.050
# Neutral site			68.8						0.45

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/13	H	George C. Marshall	16-	9	7	4	+	-2.28	2.91
3/26	H	Stone Bridge	2-	18	-16	-9	–––	-2.28	-6.83
3/31	A	Wakefield HS, VA	22-	0	22	15	+++	2.28	6.76
4/03	H	J.E.B. Stuart	21-	1	20	16	+	-2.28	3.84
4/11	A	Mt. Vernon	10-	8	2	6	––	2.28	-4.03
4/15	A	Centreville	9-	7	2	0	+	2.28	2.43
4/18	H	Thomas Alva Edison	12-	7	5	10	––	-2.28	-5.23
4/23	A	Westfield, VA	7-	19	-12	-12		2.28	0.41
4/26	A	Robert E. Lee	13-	5	8	5	+	2.28	3.44
4/30	A	Washington-Lee	13-	10	3	2		2.28	0.70
5/01	H	Yorktown, VA	9-	12	-3	1	–	-2.28	-3.71
5/05	H	Wakefield HS, VA	21-	0	21	20		-2.28	1.20
5/06	N	Washington-Lee	9-	4	5	5		0.00	0.42
5/09	A	Yorktown, VA	6-	9	-3	-4		2.28	0.85
5/13	H	Westfield, VA	4-	15	-11	-8	–	-2.28	-3.15
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/26	H	Stone Bridge	2-	18	6.00
3/31	A	Wakefield HS, VA	22-	0	-6.76
4/03	H	J.E.B. Stuart	21-	1	-3.84
4/23	A	Westfield, VA	7-	19	-0.41
5/05	H	Wakefield HS, VA	21-	0	-1.20
5/13	H	Westfield, VA	4-	15	1.00
10-goal correction: -0.35

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	70.		Natl CCR Rank	963
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	70.21		Natl Power Rank	963
Natl SOS Rating	58.65		Natl SOS Rank	1244
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.45		Natl Quality Win Rank	495
W-L Pct Rating	0.67		W-L Pct Rank	576
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-16.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-13.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.0


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