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Fayetteville-Manlius Hornets (14-7)

Conference: A2Region: NY A Sec 3State: NYCoach: Tom Blackford

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/01at Brighton, NY (19-2)NY B Sec 592.9L3- 8 -0.075  
4/05BETHLEHEM (9-9)NY A Sec 280.9W16- 8 0.075  
4/07LIVERPOOL (9-11)NY A Sec 384.010W15- 8 0.125  
4/09at Cicero-North Syracuse (10-7)NY A Sec 384.98W12- 9 0.200  
4/14vs. Christian Bros Acad # (9-11)NY C Sec 383.4L10-14 -0.350  
4/16WEST GENESEE (24-0)NY A Sec 396.01L7-15 -0.100  
4/17at Auburn (10-9)NY A Sec 383.4W14-11 0.125  
4/21OSWEGO (5-13)NY A Sec 379.4W20- 3 0.000  
4/22HONEOYE FALLS-LIMA (14-7)NY C Sec 585.0L6-10 -0.325  
4/25at Liverpool (9-11)NY A Sec 384.010W16-15 0.175  
4/29ROME FREE ACADEMY (3-15)NY A Sec 376.5W22- 2 0.000  
5/01HENNINGER-NOTTINGHAM (11-7)NY A Sec 383.8W12- 4 0.075  
5/03SKANEATELES (19-6)NY C Sec 387.22W7- 6 0.225  
5/06at Baldwinsville (12-6)NY A Sec 385.66W13-11 0.225  
5/09CICERO-NORTH SYRACUSE (10-7)NY A Sec 384.98W8- 6 0.175  
5/10BALDWINSVILLE (12-6)NY A Sec 385.66L10-11 -0.325  
5/13at West Genesee (24-0)NY A Sec 396.01L8- 9 -0.050  
5/16CORCORAN-FOWLER (9-9)NY A Sec 382.5W17-12 0.050  
5/27CORCORAN-FOWLER (9-9)NY A Sec 382.5W18- 9 0.050  
5/29AUBURN (10-9)NY A Sec 383.4W11- 5 0.100  
6/01vs. West Genesee # (24-0)NY A Sec 396.01L7-13 -0.075  
# Neutral site 85.5     0.30  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/01ABrighton, NY3-8-5   -7       0.84       1.98
4/05HBethlehem16-88   7       -0.96       1.20
4/07HLiverpool15-87   5       +-0.90       2.17
4/09ACicero-North Syracuse12-93   2       0.90       1.44
4/14NChristian Bros Acad10-14-4   4       –––0.00       -7.56
4/16HWest Genesee7-15-8   -6       -0.90       -1.59
4/17AAuburn14-113   5       0.90       -1.62
4/21HOswego20-317   13       ++-0.90       4.31
4/22HHoneoye Falls-Lima6-10-4   3       –––-0.84       -6.64
4/25ALiverpool16-151   3       –0.90       -2.03
4/29HRome Free Academy22-220   19       -0.90       0.51
5/01HHenninger-Nottingham12-48   7       -0.90       1.46
5/03HSkaneateles7-61   1       -0.90       -0.33
5/06ABaldwinsville13-112   1       0.90       1.25
5/09HCicero-North Syracuse8-62   3       -0.90       -1.36
5/10HBaldwinsville10-11-1   3       –-0.90       -3.55
5/13AWest Genesee8-9-1   -8       +++0.90       7.21
5/16HCorcoran-Fowler17-125   8       –-0.90       -2.60
5/27HCorcoran-Fowler18-99   8       -0.90       1.40
5/29HAuburn11-56   6       -0.90       -0.42
6/01NWest Genesee7-13-6   -7       0.00       1.31
         0.00-3.46

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/21HOswego20-3-4.31
4/29HRome Free Academy22-2-0.51
10-goal correction: -0.23

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 87.   Natl CCR Rank 80
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 86.76   Natl Power Rank 77
Natl SOS Rating 86.35   Natl SOS Rank 25
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.30   Natl Quality Win Rank 636
W-L Pct Rating 0.67   W-L Pct Rank 555
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 14-7   Ave Goal diff (all ) 3.0
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -3.5
Wins/Losses (top 10) 6-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 0.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 12-5   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 2.6
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 3.0



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