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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

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Fitch Falcons (5-11)

Region: CT Div 2State: CTCoach: Pat Semancik

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
4/02at Valley Regional (5-11)CT Div 264.1W13- 9 0.200  
4/10at Wheeler, CT (9-8)CT Div 268.8L10-13 -0.200  
4/11at Stonington (9-8)CT Div 271.2L7- 9 -0.175  
4/18NORWICH FREE ACAD (7-8)CT Div 169.9L7-10 -0.225  
4/19NORTHWEST CATHOLIC (17-2)CT Div 278.2L2- 8 -0.025  
4/22EAST LYME (15-3)CT Div 179.6L3-16 0.000  
4/25at Norwich Free Acad (7-8)CT Div 169.9L2- 6 -0.175  
4/26MORGAN SCHOOL (11-5)CT Div 272.5L5-12 -0.175  
5/02LEDYARD (4-12)CT Div 263.1W14- 5 0.150  
5/03at North Branford (10-6)CT Div 270.7L5-10 -0.200  
5/06WATERFORD, CT (5-10)CT Div 264.6W8- 7 0.175  
5/12at St. Bernard, CT (11-6)CT Div 272.2W10- 9 0.375  
5/13WOODSTOCK ACADEMY (1-11)CT Div 260.0W8- 3 0.125  
5/19at Old Lyme (15-4)CT Div 274.6L13-19 -0.075  
5/20SOUTHINGTON (3-10)CT Div 169.7L4-11 -0.175  
5/23NORTH BRANFORD (10-6)CT Div 270.7L8- 9 -0.225  
 64.8     -0.62  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/02AValley Regional13-94   2       +0.81       2.19
4/10AWheeler, CT10-13-3   -2       0.81       -0.92
4/11AStonington7-9-2   -3       0.81       1.09
4/18HNorwich Free Acad7-10-3   -1       -0.81       -2.09
4/19HNorthwest Catholic2-8-6   -9       +-0.81       2.89
4/22HEast Lyme3-16-13   -13       -0.81       -0.24
4/25ANorwich Free Acad2-6-4   -3       0.81       -1.47
4/26HMorgan School5-12-7   -3       -0.81       -3.96
5/02HLedyard14-59   4       ++-0.81       5.03
5/03ANorth Branford5-10-5   -2       0.81       -2.54
5/06HWaterford, CT8-71   3       -0.81       -2.03
5/12ASt. Bernard, CT10-91   -5       ++0.81       5.81
5/13HWoodstock Academy8-35   5       -0.81       -0.38
5/19AOld Lyme13-19-6   -7       0.81       0.69
5/20HSouthington4-11-7   -3       -0.81       -3.93
5/23HNorth Branford8-9-1   -1       -0.81       -0.16
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/22HEast Lyme3-160.24
10-goal correction: 0.02

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 67.   Natl CCR Rank 1285
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 66.46   Natl Power Rank 1285
Natl SOS Rating 52.32   Natl SOS Rank 1777
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.62   Natl Quality Win Rank 2010
W-L Pct Rating 0.31   W-L Pct Rank 1454
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 5-11   Ave Goal diff (all ) -2.3
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -13.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -9.5
Wins/Losses (last 3) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -4.7



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