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Frontier Falcons (8-9 - 1)

Conference: ECICRegion: NY A Sec 6State: NYCoach: Tim Myslinski

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/04at Hamburg (13-4)NY B Sec 678.35T9- 9 0.000  
4/07LOCKPORT (1-11)NY A Sec 664.7W13-10 0.075  
4/09at Williamsville North (8-7)NY A Sec 673.68W10- 6 0.275  
4/10NIAGARA-WHEATFIELD (6-8)NY B Sec 669.5W15- 8 0.125  
4/22CLARENCE (8-11)NY A Sec 670.5W9- 8 0.150  
4/26at North Tonawanda (0-12)NY A Sec 659.8W15- 2 0.000  
4/28at Orchard Park (16-4)NY A Sec 679.43L3-12 -0.100  
4/30LANCASTER, NY (20-3)NY A Sec 683.51L1-12 -0.100  
5/02at Lockport (1-11)NY A Sec 664.7W15- 4 0.150  
5/06at Lake Shore (16-3)NY B Sec 677.46W5- 4 0.325  
5/07at Clarence (8-11)NY A Sec 670.5L7- 82ot-0.250  
5/08WILLIAMSVILLE NORTH (8-7)NY A Sec 673.68L10-11 -0.300  
5/10at Brockport (9-9)NY A Sec 577.1L7- 8 -0.100  
5/12NORTH TONAWANDA (0-12)NY A Sec 659.8W14- 3 0.000  
5/14ORCHARD PARK (16-4)NY A Sec 679.43L9-14 -0.175  
5/16at Lancaster, NY (20-3)NY A Sec 683.51L5-10 0.000  
5/19at East Aurora (14-5)NY C Sec 678.44L5-13 -0.125  
5/28CLARENCE (8-11)NY A Sec 670.5L12-14 -0.350  
 74.9     -0.40  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/04AHamburg9-90   -5       ++1.72       4.95
4/07HLockport13-103   7       ––-1.72       -4.29
4/09AWilliamsville North10-64   -1       ++1.72       5.18
4/10HNiagara-Wheatfield15-87   5       +-1.72       2.31
4/22HClarence9-81   4       –-1.72       -2.52
4/26ANorth Tonawanda15-213   10       +1.72       3.26
4/28AOrchard Park3-12-9   -6       –1.72       -3.02
4/30HLancaster, NY1-12-11   -6       ––-1.72       -4.66
5/02ALockport15-411   4       +++1.72       7.16
5/06ALake Shore5-41   -3       ++1.72       4.47
5/07AClarence7-8-1   0       1.72       -1.08
5/08HWilliamsville North10-11-1   2       –-1.72       -3.27
5/10ABrockport7-8-1   -6       ++1.25       4.80
5/12HNorth Tonawanda14-311   13       –-1.72       -2.18
5/14HOrchard Park9-14-5   -3       –-1.72       -2.46
5/16ALancaster, NY5-10-5   -10       ++1.72       4.78
5/19AEast Aurora5-13-8   -5       –1.72       -3.11
5/28HClarence12-14-2   4       ––-1.72       -5.52
         0.004.80

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/26ANorth Tonawanda15-2-3.26
4/30HLancaster, NY1-121.00
5/02ALockport15-4-1.00
5/12HNorth Tonawanda14-32.18
10-goal correction: -0.06

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 73.   Natl CCR Rank 771
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 72.58   Natl Power Rank 771
Natl SOS Rating 67.33   Natl SOS Rank 582
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.40   Natl Quality Win Rank 1777
W-L Pct Rating 0.47   W-L Pct Rank 1078
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 8-9   Ave Goal diff (all ) 0.4
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-5   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -6.3
Wins/Losses (top 10) 2-6   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -3.8
Wins/Losses (top 20) 6-8   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -1.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -5.0



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