High School Computer Ratings

Garrison Forest Grizzlies (17-3)

Region: MD IAAM B

State: MD

Coach: Traci Davis

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score			COR
3/25	GLENELG COUNTRY SCHOOL (4-14)	MD IAAM B	71.4	10	W	18-	5	0.000
3/28	at St. Timothy's (7-9)	MD IAAM B	71.9	6	W	12-	2	0.000
3/29	ST. MARY'S, MD (13-8)	MD IAAM A	90.7		L	8-	13	-0.100
3/31	PARK SCHOOL (13-3)	MD IAAM B	79.3	2	W	13-	3	0.175
4/02	at Oldfields School (3-12)	MD IAAM B	71.5	8	W	15-	3	0.000
4/05	FRANKLIN REGIONAL, MD (5-10)	MD 3A	78.7		W	10-	6	0.075
4/07	at Friends School (12-5)	MD IAAM B	76.3	3	W	17-	2	0.075
4/08	at Inst. of Notre Dame (7-11)	MD IAAM B	72.2	5	W	15-	4	0.000
4/09	at Chapelgate Christian (9-9)	MD IAAM B	73.7	4	W	17-	6	0.000
4/11	at Annapolis Area Christ. (4-9)	MD IAAM B	71.6	7	W	12-	2	0.000
4/15	CICERO-NORTH SYRACUSE (10-7)	NY A Sec 3	84.9		L	8-	9	-0.250
4/16	ST. JOHNS CATHOLIC PRE (5-12)	MD IAAM B	71.4	9	W	17-	2	0.000
4/18	at Glenelg Country School (4-14)	MD IAAM B	71.4	10	W	18-	8	0.000
4/21	ST. PAUL'S SG, MD (7-12)	MD IAAM A	87.2		L	7-	10	-0.200
4/23	ST. TIMOTHY'S (7-9)	MD IAAM B	71.9	6	W	17-	6	0.000
4/25	at Park School (13-3)	MD IAAM B	79.3	2	W	12-	10	0.200
4/28	at Mercy, MD (4-11)	MD IAAM A	84.6			-
4/30	OLDFIELDS SCHOOL (3-12)	MD IAAM B	71.5	8	W	17-	6	0.000
5/06	OLDFIELDS SCHOOL (3-12)	MD IAAM B	71.5	8	W	18-	3	0.000
5/08	CHAPELGATE CHRISTIAN (9-9)	MD IAAM B	73.7	4	W	16-	5	0.000
5/10	vs. Park School # (13-3)	MD IAAM B	79.3	2	W	13-	10	1.175
# Neutral site			77.0					1.15

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/25	H	Glenelg Country School	18-	5	13	15		-0.71	-1.71
3/28	A	St. Timothy's	12-	2	10	12	–	0.71	-2.01
3/29	H	St. Mary's, MD	8-	13	-5	-6		-0.63		0.67
3/31	H	Park School	13-	3	10	3	+++	-0.71	6.66
4/02	A	Oldfields School	15-	3	12	13		0.71	-0.95
4/05	H	Franklin Regional, MD	10-	6	4	7	–	-0.85		-2.57
4/07	A	Friends School	17-	2	15	7	+++	0.71	7.71
4/08	A	Inst. of Notre Dame	15-	4	11	11		0.71	-0.21
4/09	A	Chapelgate Christian	17-	6	11	10		0.71	1.34
4/11	A	Annapolis Area Christ.	12-	2	10	12	–	0.71	-2.05
4/15	H	Cicero-North Syracuse	8-	9	-1	0		-0.81		-1.30
4/16	H	St. Johns Catholic Pre	17-	2	15	16		-0.71	-0.68
4/18	A	Glenelg Country School	18-	8	10	13	–	0.71	-3.29
4/21	H	St. Paul's SG, MD	7-	10	-3	-2		-0.63		-0.85
4/23	H	St. Timothy's	17-	6	11	13	–	-0.71	-2.44
4/25	A	Park School	12-	10	2	2		0.71	0.09
4/30	H	Oldfields School	17-	6	11	14	–	-0.71	-3.37
5/06	H	Oldfields School	18-	3	15	14		-0.71	0.63
5/08	H	Chapelgate Christian	16-	5	11	11		-0.71	-0.09
5/10	N	Park School	13-	10	3	3		0.00	0.37
									0.00	-4.05