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Garnet Valley Jaguars (4-14)

Region: PA Indep

State: PA

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/25	at Interboro (11-7)	PA DelVal	80.1		W	14-	10		0.350
3/27	BISHOP SHANAHAN (7-11)	PA CML-N	79.2		L	8-	10		-0.250
3/28	at Avon Grove (11-8)	PA CML-N	84.9		L	4-	18		0.000
3/31	at Downingtown West (20-3)	PA CML-N	89.8	6	L	4-	23		0.000
4/02	at Perkiomen Valley (9-6)	PA PAC	83.0		L	0-	13		-0.025
4/07	KENNETT (4-12)	PA CML-A	78.4		L	5-	10		-0.250
4/08	LOWER MERION (4-14)	PA Centrl	76.7		L	8-	9		-0.325
4/10	at Springfield (DelCo) (19-3)	PA Centrl	90.7	2	L	2-	14		0.000
4/15	MARPLE NEWTOWN (6-13)	PA Centrl	79.0		W	13-	12	ot	0.300
4/17	PENNCREST (4-11)	PA Centrl	79.7		L	4-	16		-0.175
4/22	at Upper Darby (0-15)	PA Centrl	73.2		W	12-	4		0.125
4/24	RIDLEY (13-8)	PA Centrl	86.6		L	5-	16		0.000
4/29	at Strath Haven (18-4)	PA Centrl	89.2	7	L	4-	20		0.000
5/02	HARRITON (12-8)	PA DelVal	81.2		L	6-	12		-0.225
5/05	at West Chester Rustin (17-3)	PA CML-A	90.7	3	L	5-	21		0.000
5/06	at Radnor (23-0)	PA Centrl	93.8	1	L	3-	23		0.000
5/08	CHICHESTER (4-14)	PA DelVal	76.1		W	15-	5		0.100
5/13	at Conestoga (13-7)	PA Centrl	85.9		L	5-	19		0.000
			77.8						-0.38

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/25	A	Interboro	14-	10	4	-4	+++	1.65	7.91
3/27	H	Bishop Shanahan	8-	10	-2	0	–	-1.65	-2.38
3/28	A	Avon Grove	4-	18	-14	-11	–	1.65	-2.52
3/31	A	Downingtown West	4-	23	-19	-19		1.65	-0.09
4/02	A	Perkiomen Valley	0-	13	-13	-9	––	1.65	-4.13
4/07	H	Kennett	5-	10	-5	0	––	-1.65	-5.34
4/08	H	Lower Merion	8-	9	-1	3	––	-1.65	-4.02
4/10	A	Springfield (DelCo)	2-	14	-12	-18	++	1.65	5.92
4/15	H	Marple Newtown	13-	12	1	-2	+	-1.65	3.32
4/17	H	Penncrest	4-	16	-12	-3	–––	-1.65	-9.35
4/22	A	Upper Darby	12-	4	8	5	+	1.65	2.80
4/24	H	Ridley	5-	16	-11	-10		-1.65	-1.05
4/29	A	Strath Haven	4-	20	-16	-18	+	1.65	2.37
5/02	H	Harriton	6-	12	-6	-1	––	-1.65	-4.94
5/05	A	West Chester Rustin	5-	21	-16	-20	+	1.65	3.54
5/06	A	Radnor	3-	23	-20	-25	++	1.65	5.01
5/08	H	Chichester	15-	5	10	6	++	-1.65	4.46
5/13	A	Conestoga	5-	19	-14	-12		1.65	-1.52
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/28	A	Avon Grove	4-	18	2.52
3/31	A	Downingtown West	4-	23	0.09
4/02	A	Perkiomen Valley	0-	13	3.00
4/10	A	Springfield (DelCo)	2-	14	-5.92
4/17	H	Penncrest	4-	16	2.00
4/24	H	Ridley	5-	16	1.00
4/29	A	Strath Haven	4-	20	-2.37
5/05	A	West Chester Rustin	5-	21	-3.54
5/06	A	Radnor	3-	23	-5.01
5/08	H	Chichester	15-	5	0.00
5/13	A	Conestoga	5-	19	1.52
10-goal correction: -0.37

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	452
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	77.03		Natl Power Rank	452
Natl SOS Rating	72.86		Natl SOS Rank	296
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.38		Natl Quality Win Rank	1733
W-L Pct Rating	0.22		W-L Pct Rank	1670
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-14		Ave Goal diff (all )	-7.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-16.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-16.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-15.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-8.0


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