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Glenelg Country School Dragons (4-14)

Region: MD IAAM B

State: MD

Coach: Paige Walton

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/13	OLDFIELDS SCHOOL (3-12)	MD IAAM B	71.5	8	L	8-	11		-0.250
3/25	at Garrison Forest (17-3)	MD IAAM B	84.4	1	L	5-	18		0.000
3/28	at Park School (13-3)	MD IAAM B	79.3	2	L	2-	12		0.000
4/04	at St. Johns Catholic Pre (5-12)	MD IAAM B	71.4	9	W	15-	14		0.250
4/07	INST. OF NOTRE DAME (7-11)	MD IAAM B	72.2	5	L	9-	13		-0.225
4/09	at Friends School (12-5)	MD IAAM B	76.3	3	L	7-	14		-0.075
4/11	at Chapelgate Christian (9-9)	MD IAAM B	73.7	4	L	13-	14		-0.150
4/14	at St. Timothy's (7-9)	MD IAAM B	71.9	6	L	9-	10		-0.200
4/16	ANNAPOLIS AREA CHRIST. (4-9)	MD IAAM B	71.6	7	W	12-	10		0.275
4/18	GARRISON FOREST (17-3)	MD IAAM B	84.4	1	L	8-	18		0.000
4/23	PARK SCHOOL (13-3)	MD IAAM B	79.3	2	L	6-	18		0.000
4/25	OLDFIELDS SCHOOL (3-12)	MD IAAM B	71.5	8	W	18-	14		0.250
4/28	ST. TIMOTHY'S (7-9)	MD IAAM B	71.9	6	L	9-	11		-0.225
4/29	at St. Johns Catholic Pre (5-12)	MD IAAM B	71.4	9	W	15-	14		0.250
4/30	BALTIMORE LUTHERAN (16-3)	MD IAAM C	77.2		L	10-	13		-0.125
5/01	ST. TIMOTHY'S (7-9)	MD IAAM B	71.9	6	L	9-	11		-0.225
5/02	at St. Johns Catholic Pre (5-12)	MD IAAM B	71.4	9	L	8-	15		-0.250
5/06	at Friends School (12-5)	MD IAAM B	76.3	3	L	10-	18		-0.075
			74.6						-0.78

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/13	H	Oldfields School	8-	11	-3	0	–	-0.71	-3.37
3/25	A	Garrison Forest	5-	18	-13	-15		0.71	1.71
3/28	A	Park School	2-	12	-10	-12	+	0.71	2.09
4/04	A	St. Johns Catholic Pre	15-	14	1	0		0.71	0.74
4/07	H	Inst. of Notre Dame	9-	13	-4	-1	–	-0.71	-2.63
4/09	A	Friends School	7-	14	-7	-7		0.71	-0.29
4/11	A	Chapelgate Christian	13-	14	-1	-4	+	0.71	3.34
4/14	A	St. Timothy's	9-	10	-1	-2		0.71	0.99
4/16	H	Annapolis Area Christ.	12-	10	2	-1	+	-0.71	2.52
4/18	H	Garrison Forest	8-	18	-10	-13	+	-0.71	3.29
4/23	H	Park School	6-	18	-12	-11		-0.71	-1.34
4/25	H	Oldfields School	18-	14	4	0	+	-0.71	3.63
4/28	H	St. Timothy's	9-	11	-2	-1		-0.71	-1.44
4/29	A	St. Johns Catholic Pre	15-	14	1	0		0.71	0.74
4/30	H	Baltimore Lutheran	10-	13	-3	-5		-1.09		1.69
5/01	H	St. Timothy's	9-	11	-2	-1		-0.71	-1.44
5/02	A	St. Johns Catholic Pre	8-	15	-7	0	–––	0.71	-7.26
5/06	A	Friends School	10-	18	-8	-7		0.71	-1.29
									0.00	1.69

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/25	A	Garrison Forest	5-	18	-1.71
3/28	A	Park School	2-	12	-2.09
4/18	H	Garrison Forest	8-	18	-3.29
4/23	H	Park School	6-	18	1.34
10-goal correction: -0.32

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	71.		Natl CCR Rank	878
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	71.42		Natl Power Rank	878
Natl SOS Rating	66.93		Natl SOS Rank	608
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.78		Natl Quality Win Rank	2138
W-L Pct Rating	0.22		W-L Pct Rank	1661
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-14		Ave Goal diff (all )	-4.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-8		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.1
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-13		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-13		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.7


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