| Region: MD 1A | State: MD | Coach: Virginia Kincaid |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/28 | A | Westminster, MD | 9- | 10 | -1 | 5 | –– | 0.99 | -5.69 | |
4/02 | A | Wilde Lake | 27- | 2 | 25 | 21 | + | 0.99 | 3.69 | |
4/08 | A | River Hill | 25- | 10 | 15 | 13 | | 0.99 | 1.65 | |
4/11 | H | Atholton | 19- | 3 | 16 | 17 | | -0.99 | -0.71 | |
4/17 | A | Centennial, MD | 21- | 6 | 15 | 7 | +++ | 0.99 | 8.47 | |
4/18 | N | Maryvale Prep | 8- | 21 | -13 | 4 | ––– | 0.00 | | 16.87 |
4/19 | N | Seton Keough | 15- | 18 | -3 | 8 | ––– | 0.00 | | 11.27 |
4/22 | A | Oakland Mills | 18- | 1 | 17 | 22 | –– | 0.99 | -4.78 | |
4/24 | A | Howard | 24- | 2 | 22 | 21 | | 0.99 | 1.46 | |
4/25 | H | Mt. Hebron | 14- | 11 | 3 | 2 | | -0.99 | 1.15 | |
4/29 | H | Hammond | 26- | 1 | 25 | 23 | | -0.99 | 1.67 | |
4/30 | A | McDonogh School | 7- | 15 | -8 | -6 | – | 0.77 | | -2.42 |
5/02 | A | Reservoir | 22- | 6 | 16 | 13 | + | 0.99 | 3.22 | |
5/05 | H | Long Reach | 23- | 3 | 20 | 27 | ––– | -0.99 | -6.83 | |
5/06 | H | Centennial, MD | 16- | 5 | 11 | 9 | + | -0.99 | 2.48 | |
5/10 | H | South Carroll | 16- | 12 | 4 | 12 | ––– | -0.99 | -8.26 | |
5/13 | A | Poolesville | 23- | 3 | 20 | 18 | | 0.99 | 1.60 | |
5/14 | A | Liberty, MD | 13- | 9 | 4 | 2 | + | 0.99 | 2.19 | |
5/17 | N | Rising Sun | 23- | 0 | 23 | 23 | | 0.00 | 0.43 | |
5/20 | N | Loch Raven | 17- | 11 | 6 | 8 | | 0.00 | -1.74 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -30.56 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/02 | A | Wilde Lake | 27- | 2 | -3.69 |
4/08 | A | River Hill | 25- | 10 | -1.65 |
4/11 | H | Atholton | 19- | 3 | 0.71 |
4/17 | A | Centennial, MD | 21- | 6 | -5.00 |
4/18 | N | Maryvale Prep | 8- | 21 | 0.00 |
4/22 | A | Oakland Mills | 18- | 1 | 4.78 |
4/24 | A | Howard | 24- | 2 | -1.46 |
4/29 | H | Hammond | 26- | 1 | -1.67 |
5/02 | A | Reservoir | 22- | 6 | -3.22 |
5/05 | H | Long Reach | 23- | 3 | 6.83 |
5/06 | H | Centennial, MD | 16- | 5 | -1.00 |
5/13 | A | Poolesville | 23- | 3 | -1.60 |
5/17 | N | Rising Sun | 23- | 0 | -0.43 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.37 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 187. | | Natl CCR Rank | 22 |
| Natl Poll Vote | 97. | | Natl Poll Rank | 21 |
| Natl Power Rating | 90.75 | | Natl Power Rank | 24 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 79.03 | | Natl SOS Rank | 109 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.27 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 669 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.80 | | W-L Pct Rank | 224 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 16-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 10.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 2-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 3.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 4-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 8.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 5-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 6.3 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 3-0 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 11.0 |
|
