| Conference: FL | Region: NY C Sec 5 | State: NY | Coach: David Williams |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/01 | A | Penn Yan Academy | 6- | 7 | -1 | -10 | +++ | 0.78 | 9.02 | |
4/05 | A | Livonia, NY | 7- | 8 | -1 | -3 | + | 0.78 | 2.16 | |
4/07 | A | Canandaigua Academy | 4- | 19 | -15 | -20 | ++ | 0.78 | 4.92 | |
4/08 | A | Aquinas Institute, NY | 6- | 3 | 3 | 4 | | 0.78 | -0.57 | |
4/22 | A | Marcus Whitman | 3- | 17 | -14 | -10 | –– | 0.78 | -4.46 | |
4/24 | A | Newark, NY | 9- | 13 | -4 | -2 | | 0.78 | -1.74 | |
4/25 | H | Waterloo | 6- | 14 | -8 | -8 | | -0.78 | 0.13 | |
4/28 | H | Victor | 5- | 12 | -7 | -7 | | -0.78 | -0.45 | |
4/30 | H | Mynderse Academy | 12- | 11 | 1 | 4 | – | -0.78 | -3.09 | |
5/02 | H | Canandaigua Academy | 3- | 21 | -18 | -18 | | -0.78 | 0.36 | |
5/03 | H | West Seneca East | 8- | 13 | -5 | -5 | | -1.25 | | -0.08 |
5/06 | A | Midlakes | 5- | 10 | -5 | -2 | – | 0.78 | -3.32 | |
5/08 | H | Palmyra-Macedon, NY | 13- | 14 | -1 | 1 | – | -0.78 | -2.44 | |
5/10 | H | Aquinas Institute, NY | 17- | 9 | 8 | 5 | + | -0.78 | 2.86 | |
5/12 | H | Penn Yan Academy | 11- | 18 | -7 | -8 | | -0.78 | 1.46 | |
5/14 | A | Victor | 6- | 17 | -11 | -8 | – | 0.78 | -2.89 | |
5/16 | H | Newark, NY | 15- | 16 | -1 | -1 | | -0.78 | -0.30 | |
5/19 | H | Livonia, NY | 8- | 9 | -1 | -2 | | -0.78 | 0.60 | |
5/23 | A | Our Lady of Mercy, NY | 7- | 18 | -11 | -9 | – | 0.78 | -2.25 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -0.08 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/07 | A | Canandaigua Academy | 4- | 19 | -4.92 |
4/22 | A | Marcus Whitman | 3- | 17 | 4.00 |
5/02 | H | Canandaigua Academy | 3- | 21 | -0.36 |
5/14 | A | Victor | 6- | 17 | 1.00 |
5/23 | A | Our Lady of Mercy, NY | 7- | 18 | 1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.04 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 65. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1389 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 65.49 | | Natl Power Rank | 1389 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 70.11 | | Natl SOS Rank | 434 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -1.23 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2276 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.16 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1802 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 3-16 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -5.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -16.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -16.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-10 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -9.7 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -4.3 |
|
