| Region: CT Div 1 | State: CT | Coach: Dee Stephan |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/03 | H | Housatonic Regional | 22- | 0 | 22 | 13 | +++ | -0.81 | 8.85 | |
4/08 | H | Somers, CT | 5- | 8 | -3 | 3 | –– | -0.81 | -5.57 | |
4/10 | H | Ellington | 9- | 4 | 5 | 1 | + | -0.81 | 3.56 | |
4/15 | A | Avon | 5- | 16 | -11 | -10 | | 0.81 | -0.70 | |
4/17 | H | Woodstock Academy | 15- | 5 | 10 | 9 | | -0.81 | 0.69 | |
4/22 | H | Suffield HS | 5- | 17 | -12 | -7 | –– | -0.81 | -4.68 | |
4/30 | A | East Catholic | 16- | 9 | 7 | 6 | | 0.81 | 1.35 | |
5/01 | A | Somers, CT | 15- | 9 | 6 | 1 | ++ | 0.81 | 5.04 | |
5/02 | H | Northwest Catholic | 5- | 13 | -8 | -5 | – | -0.81 | -3.03 | |
5/06 | A | Ellington | 9- | 8 | 1 | 0 | | 0.81 | 1.17 | |
5/07 | H | Avon | 7- | 17 | -10 | -9 | | -0.81 | -1.31 | |
5/13 | A | Suffield HS | 3- | 18 | -15 | -9 | ––– | 0.81 | -6.06 | |
5/14 | H | Farmington, CT | 12- | 11 | 1 | 0 | | -0.81 | 0.69 | |
5/15 | H | East Catholic | 13- | 5 | 8 | 7 | | -0.81 | 0.73 | |
5/20 | A | Housatonic Regional | 15- | 1 | 14 | 12 | + | 0.81 | 2.46 | |
5/21 | H | Windsor | 6- | 5 | 1 | 3 | | -0.81 | -1.94 | |
5/31 | A | Morgan School | 10- | 12 | -2 | -1 | | 0.81 | -1.26 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/03 | H | Housatonic Regional | 22- | 0 | -8.85 |
4/15 | A | Avon | 5- | 16 | 1.00 |
4/17 | H | Woodstock Academy | 15- | 5 | 0.00 |
4/22 | H | Suffield HS | 5- | 17 | 2.00 |
5/07 | H | Avon | 7- | 17 | 0.00 |
5/13 | A | Suffield HS | 3- | 18 | 5.00 |
5/20 | A | Housatonic Regional | 15- | 1 | -2.46 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.19 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 72. | | Natl CCR Rank | 825 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 72.10 | | Natl Power Rank | 825 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 53.66 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1664 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.52 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 429 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.59 | | W-L Pct Rank | 772 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 10-7 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 0.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -11.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 4.3 |
|
