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Greensboro Day School Bengals (11-3)

Region: NC W Cen

State: NC

Coach: Stacey Olsen

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/06	WESTERN GUILFORD (12-5)	NC W Cen	68.6		L	6-	14		-0.075
3/08	NORTHWEST GUILFORD (7-7)	NC W Cen	61.5		W	14-	5		0.150
3/11	GRIMSLEY (3-8)	NC W Cen	60.9		W	14-	7		0.125
3/13	PAGE (5-9)	NC W Cen	61.1		W	9-	6		0.150
3/15	SOUTHEAST GUILFORD (1-14)	NC W Cen	55.6		W	12-	2		0.000
3/18	RAGSDALE (9-4)	NC W Cen	62.0		W	10-	3		0.175
4/02	at Page (5-9)	NC W Cen	61.1		W	9-	6		0.150
4/08	at Western Guilford (12-5)	NC W Cen	68.6		L	6-	21		-0.050
4/09	at Grimsley (3-8)	NC W Cen	60.9		W	12-	8		0.125
4/14	WEST FORSYTH (2-9)	NC W Cen	58.2		W	20-	9		0.000
4/16	at Northwest Guilford (7-7)	NC W Cen	61.5		W	10-	4		0.175
4/18	at Southeast Guilford (1-14)	NC W Cen	55.6		W	15-	2		0.000
4/26	at Durham Academy (15-5)	NC E Cen	70.0	7	L	4-	14		-0.075
4/30	at West Forsyth (2-9)	NC W Cen	58.2		W	17-	7		0.025
			60.2						0.88

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/06	H	Western Guilford	6-	14	-8	-7		-0.39	-0.71
3/08	H	Northwest Guilford	14-	5	9	4	++	-0.39	4.88
3/11	H	Grimsley	14-	7	7	5		-0.39	1.55
3/13	H	Page	9-	6	3	4		-0.39	-1.38
3/15	H	Southeast Guilford	12-	2	10	12	–	-0.39	-2.48
3/18	H	Ragsdale	10-	3	7	3	+	-0.39	3.87
4/02	A	Page	9-	6	3	4		0.39	-0.61
4/08	A	Western Guilford	6-	21	-15	-8	–––	0.39	-6.94
4/09	A	Grimsley	12-	8	4	5		0.39	-0.68
4/14	H	West Forsyth	20-	9	11	10		-0.39	0.89
4/16	A	Northwest Guilford	10-	4	6	3	+	0.39	2.65
4/18	A	Southeast Guilford	15-	2	13	12		0.39	1.29
4/26	A	Durham Academy	4-	14	-10	-7	–	0.39	-2.98
4/30	A	West Forsyth	17-	7	10	9		0.39	0.66
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/15	H	Southeast Guilford	12-	2	2.48
4/08	A	Western Guilford	6-	21	5.00
4/14	H	West Forsyth	20-	9	-0.89
4/18	A	Southeast Guilford	15-	2	-1.29
4/26	A	Durham Academy	4-	14	0.00
4/30	A	West Forsyth	17-	7	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.38

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	66.		Natl CCR Rank	1325
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	66.29		Natl Power Rank	1325
Natl SOS Rating	46.84		Natl SOS Rank	2086
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.88		Natl Quality Win Rank	213
W-L Pct Rating	0.79		W-L Pct Rank	260
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.3


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